There are a lot of things I don’t believe.
I don’t believe that smoking causes lung cancer. I grew up in the 1950s in a world where everyone smoked. My father smoked. My grandfather smoked. My mother occasionally smoked. None of them died of lung cancer. The first person I knew who died of lung cancer didn’t smoke.
The association of lung cancer with smoking is purely statistical. The incidence of lung cancer started increasing at the same time that cigarettes started becoming popular in the early 20th century. Ergo the one caused the other. This became an unquestionable medical certainty in about 1950, and the basis for gradually multiplying smoking restrictions ever since. Yet there’s never been an explanation for exactly how smoking causes lung cancer. Instead smoking – and not just smoking cigarettes – is now said to cause nearly every malady in the sun. Smoking has been thoroughly demonised.
I also don’t believe that human-emitted carbon dioxide causes global warming. Volcanoes produce far more carbon dioxide than humans. And in my own dynamic heat flow models of the Earth, it wasn’t carbon dioxide that caused a cycle of ice ages and interglacials. It was a minor contributor.
And I don’t believe that Covid-19 is causing a plague worse than bubonic plague, requiring lockdowns everywhere.
What seems to be happening is that all these things – carbon dioxide, Covid-19, and tobacco – are being used to try to control human behaviour. We’re living in a medical tyranny in which self-styled experts dictate our behaviour. How long can this go on? It’s a new religion. A new blind faith in experts. And I’ve never been a believer. I’ve never trusted experts, I’ve always tried to do my own thinking, not let somebody else do it for me. It’s why I build my own heat flow models and my own orbital simulation models.
I’m an unbeliever in a world of believers.