Will they win the War on Smoking? Will we all stop smoking? Will tobacco become a distant memory?
I doubt it.
Is there anything else they’ve ever managed to stamp out? Cocaine? Cannabis? Opium? Alcohol?
Of course political and medical and scientific authorities want people to believe what they tell them. But do people believe whatever they’re told? No, of course not: everyone is able to think for themselves to some greater or lesser extent, and this is the foundation of scepticism.
I grew up in a time when tobacco was regarded as harmless, and cannabis was regarded as a very dangerous drug. Nowadays it’s the opposite way round: Cannabis is being legalised where tobacco is being banned. But the wheel of fortune keeps on spinning, and quite likely it’ll all change again sooner or later.
We should be glad that there are sceptics. It would be an awful world if everybody thought the same way about everything, in lockstep together. It would also be an awful world if nobody ever changed their minds. It would mean that nobody would ever learn anything. Learning anything entails changing your mind.
I think that what’s more likely to happen is that people will stop believing authorities. I already disbelieve most of them. I’m tired of their endless scaremongering. I’d guess that most other people are too. What else could happen? When everything is portrayed as an emergency, there ceases to be any emergency at all.
Is there a Climate Emergency? Of course not. All you need to do is look out of the window. If there were buckets of rain falling from black clouds all day, and sheets of lightning everywhere, perhaps there’d be something to worry about. But there isn’t. England yesterday was as cold and sunny as any other February day over the past 70 years. There was nothing at all remarkable about it.
So for all the expert alarmists’ warnings, personal experience regularly contradicts them. And so the experts are increasingly ignored. The experts are no experts. And any fool can see it.
Maybe one day they’ll get it right, but not yet.