Interesting headline in the Independent:
Only 15% of people believe PM fully ‘got Brexit done’, poll finds as Trump ‘livid over Huawei decision’
Do I think Boris got Brexit done? I suppose I don’t really. And that’s because I don’t really believe that the British political class (of which Boris is a member) ever wanted Brexit. Boris made a great show of leaving, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we end up remaining
As for the Huawei business, I’m not sure what it’s about, I’ve read that Huawei puts ‘back doors’ in their mobile phones to read stuff in them. But doesn’t everybody put back doors in everything?
After cheering him on wildly during the General Election, James Delingpole seems to have fallen out of love with Boris:
Boris Johnson’s Brexit administration has got off to a terrible start.
To appreciate just how bad things are, here’s a thought experiment: imagine if you had been told that the price of Brexit was the wholesale reordering of the UK economy on eco-socialistic grounds,
It seems Boris is a true believer in Climate Change. Is anyone surprised? The political classes everywhere seem to be as completely sold on climate change as they are on smoking bans.
It’s a religion. And the true believers will believe whatever the experts – climatic or medical – tell them. None of them are capable of thinking for themselves, so they have to believe whatever the experts tell them.
But in respect of climate, I’m capable of thinking for myself. I once spent some 7 years building electronic heat flow simulation models as a postgraduate and research assistant. And over the past two years I’ve been slowly constructing a heat flow simulation model of geological columns, 90% of which entails conductive heat flow of a kind with which I’m very familiar. And I’ve now got a polyhedral Earth model, with 80 geological columns, 24 of them continental columns, 56 ocean columns. The model even includes a Keplerian orbital model with which I can model Milankovitch cycles, varying the Earth’s obliquity and orbital eccentricity and precession. I can also simulate global warming by changing the absorptivity of the air in the Earth’s atmosphere. And I’ve been dropping snow on the surface of my model Earth, and getting nice ice ages in the northern hemisphere:
Last year I started a new WordPress blog – Subglacial – to which I’ve been intermittently adding pages. The idea was to simply write about what I was doing, mostly for my own benefit. I currently have the comments disabled (but I may change that soon). And last week I uploaded the model’s Java source code to it in the form of several pdf files (it was the only way I could find to do it: ordinary text files had their lines truncated). And that means that anyone who has got NetBeans installed on their computer should be able run my model, if they want to. It’s fairly slow: it can do about 100,000 years of heat flow in its geological columns in about 35 minutes on my £130 PC.
Will anyone be interested? Probably not. After all, I’m not An Expert and I’m not a Climate Scientist either. And hardly anyone seems to be interested in building models. Apart from a few giant Global Circulation Models running on supercomputers, there seem to be no simple little climate models that can run on PCs. But I like the idea of ordinary people having their own little climate models on their own computers, and taking on the experts on their own ground, questioning their assumptions. Like Richard Feynman, I believe that science is the belief in the ignorance of experts.
And, in fact, I think that climate experts actually are ignorant. I think they’ve been ignoring something that I take into account in my model. They seem to more or less completely ignore the small heat flow (only about 50 milliWatts/m²) coming from inside the Earth, on the grounds that it’s simply too small to have any effect on the Earth’s atmosphere. This tiny geothermal heat flow indeed has no direct effect on the atmosphere, but when it gradually melts snow sheets over tens of thousands of years, it drastically changes the Earth’s albedo (reflectibity), which has a dramatic effect on the Earth’s climate. So it has a profound indirect effect on climate. But it seems that the climate scientists can’t see this, and so they don’t understand how ice ages work, and seem to have convinced themselves that carbon dioxide is what controls the climate.
Anyway, I’ll keep intermittently adding to my Subglacial blog. If nothing else, it’s fun. And my model is working well enough to produce regular cycles of global glaciation and deglaciation, all driven by subglacial heat flow. The cycles stop happening if the subglacial geothermal heat flow stops.
And in the process, I’ve become a fan of global warming. I think it’s a Good Thing. Yesterday I cam across a NZ climate scientist who thinks that the Earth would be ripe for a new ice age, but for global warming. And that’s pretty much my view as well (albeit for different reasons than his). If the Borises and Greta Thunbergs get their way, and successfully decarbonise the global economy, it’ll trigger the start to a new ice age, with ice sheets spreading across Europe and Russia and North America. If a bit of global warming can prevent that happening, it’ll be a damn good thing. The Industrial Revolution maybe happened just in time to stop it.