Brexit is supposed to happen on Friday. How will we know that it’s happened? Will church bells ring? Will there be fireworks?
It’s been 3½ years since we voted for it, and I still don’t believe we’ll get it. Or if we get it, nothing will really change at all.
The British political class never wanted Brexit, and so they’re probably not going to have it. We’ll most likely continue to be a satellite state of the EU, implementing every new regulation dreamt up in Brussels, exactly as if we were still a member state.
Does Boris really want Brexit? He’s certainly made a big show of it. But ultimately he’s a fully paid up member of the British political class, which is part of the European political class.. A few days ago I came across a line that summarised what was likely to happen:
…the Prime Minister and his multicultural team can be counted on to pursue a policy of Globalism in One Country.
The European political class are all globalists. They regard the nation state as obsolete, and as passé as smoking. They’re concerned with important global problems like Global Warming.
But, as Mongolia and North Korea have closed their borders with China, the new coronavirus epidemic is perhaps showing one reason why borders and nation states matter: it helps to have a compartmentalised world in which the free movement of viruses and bacteria can be checked. If one goes down, the rest can hope to survive. And the more independent that states are, the more likely that they will survive. A fully globalised world would be one in which there’s be rapid free movement of viruses and bacteria everywhere.
It’s a point that Steve Turley was making in the video below:
As he says: “Borderless societies are vulnerable societies. We secure our borders for the same reason we lock our doors at night.”
That said, after seeing video of supermarkets in Wuhan filled with food, and learning that Beijing was as deserted as Wuhan during the Sars epidemic, I’m no longer as pessimistic about it all as I was yesterday. It seems to me quite likely that the spread of the new coronavirus outside China is quite likely to be as contained as the Ebola epidemic was (and still is) contained in Africa.
Of course, I might change my mind again. But at the moment I fell quite optimistic that this latest health scare will prove to be as much a dud as all the rest have been.