The Primary Driver of Mounting Social Division

There seems to be mounting chaos in the Western world. In the USA there’s been something not far off civil war ever since Donald Trump got elected as president. And in France there’s been something much more like a real civil war since the Gilets Jaunes protests erupted a couple of months back. And now there’s another civil war – over Brexit – coming to a boil in the UK. One might even say that there’s something approaching a civil war within Europe, between globalist progressives and nationalist populists.

Is it any better anywhere else?

In every case, the conflicts are within countries or regions rather than between countries or regions. The divisions are internal rather than external. And they’re almost always between progressives and conservatives.

And what was more “progressive” than all the smoking bans that have swept the world in the last decade or two?

And what was more divisive?

Smoking bans entail the expulsion of a quarter or a third of a population from the rest of society. Fully a quarter or a third of a population are made pariahs. All in the name of “health”.

Need one look any further for the root cause of the mounting divisions everywhere in the world? What else do you expect once you do such a thing?

But nobody can see it. Not even smokers like Nigel Farage and Marine Le Pen and Matteo Salvini who are leading the mounting populist revolt against the globalist progressives in the EU.

Everyone thinks that smoking bans don’t matter. Everyone thinks that they’re unimportant.

But I think they’re the most important things of all. Because I’ve experienced for myself how profoundly divisive they are. I know very well how they set former friends against each other. I’ve seen it happen many times in recent years.

So I think that smoking bans are the primary drivers of the mounting social division we’re seeing everywhere in the world. And because nothing is being done about them, we’re only going to see more division.

Oddly enough, in my foray into climate science over the past year, I’ve come to believe that the most important thing isn’t carbon dioxide, or the Sun, or Milankovitch cycles, or any of the other popular candidates, but instead the Earth beneath our feet.

And everyone ignores the Earth beneath their feet. They think it’s completely passive, and entirely insignificant in climatic affairs. It’s just the thing we stand on as we watch all the fireworks in the sky above our heads.

But I think it’s the most important thing of all. For my little computer heat flow simulation model has been telling me that, over many thousands of years, the warming and cooling Earth is the primary driver of the Earth’s climate, and the Sun and carbon dioxide and Milankovitch and co are bit part players in the climate drama.

For the past 6 months or so I’ve been thinking of starting a new blog. One that would be entirely devoted to my recent mathematical investigations of ice ages. It wouldn’t be something I’d write every day. It would be more like once a month.

But I haven’t figured out where to start, or what to call it.

And at the same time, watching the chaos mounting around me, I’m wondering how much more I can usefully say about it all on this my main blog. But because I wake up every day thinking about smoking bans, they’re always going to be on my mind, even if I spend much of my time thinking about snow and ice.

About Frank Davis

smoker
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16 Responses to The Primary Driver of Mounting Social Division

  1. petesquiz says:

    As usual, another thought provoking post. However, I don’t share your conviction for your new theory of ice ages.

    I have no doubt that warmth from within the Earth plays some role in climate change and ice ages, but my opinion is that the Sun is the major driver of our climate. My main justification for this is that, if you were to turn off the Sun tomorrow the planet would freeze very quickly. If the centre of the Earth was cold, I suspect that it would be a couple of degrees cooler at the surface.

    With regard to your modelling of heat flow from the centre of the Earth to the surface, have you modelled the fact that 70% of the surface is permanently covered by water?

    • Frank Davis says:

      I wouldn’t expect anyone to share my convictions. Why should they? They haven’t got any model.

      if you were to turn off the Sun tomorrow the planet would freeze very quickly.

      I agree. I’m assuming that the Sun won’t get turned off. And also that it will produce a pretty much constant radiative output.

      have you modelled the fact that 70% of the surface is permanently covered by water?

      No. I don’t have a full climate model. I just look at geological columns at different latitudes. And anyway I don’t know how to model convection.

      What my model is telling me is that there can be large increases in the surface rock temperatures beneath deep snow sheets. The temperature increases take many thousands of years. And they’re enough to melt overlying snow sheets. Yet nobody seems to be suggesting this as another way that ice ages end.

      It’s why I really ought to write a separate blog about it all.

      • petesquiz says:

        I agree that your hypothesis requires further investigation and I do think that what you propose could form a part of the complex factors affecting the climate of our planet and I look forward to seeing where it leads.

        My point about the ocean coverage was really for future reference, to be applied when your model becomes more sophisticated and can cope with convection as well as conduction.

        As far as the role of the Sun influences our climate, we’re approaching what could be another Maunder Minimum, which last time coincided with the so-called mini ice age, so we may get a better idea of the role of the Sun on our climate.

  2. garyk30 says:

    Greenies talk as if the Earth were alive.
    If so, I doubt that it has even noticed that humans are here.
    1. Total weight of humans = about 632 billions pounds(6.3 X 10>11)
    2. Total weight of Earth’s atmosphere = 12 X 10>18 pounds
    3. Total weight of Earth = 13 x 10>24 pounds

    5. For every pound of mankind, there are 2 billion pounds of atmosphere
    6. For every pound of mankind, there are 20 trillion pounds of Earth

    We are like ants crawling around on a ball that is several miles in diameter.

    I agree with Frank.

    • garyk30 says:

      We are like ants crawling around on a ball that is about 31 miles in diameter.

      • Roobeedoo2 says:

        How did you work out the diameter would be 31 miles? By that I mean can you show the calculation? I’d like to see if it would fit on the back of a fag box. Many thanks <3

        • Frank Davis says:

          Suppose that ants are 5 mm long, and humans are 1.8 m tall, then ants are 5/1800 the size of humans. So the Earth which has a diameter of 2 x 6371 km would need have a diameter 5/1800 of 12742 = 35 km or about 22 miles.

          I guess that Gary was using slightly different sized ants and humans.

        • Roobeedoo2 says:

          */holds fag box up to screen. Turns to landscape…

          Yeah, thanks Frank :D Supposedly things are bigger in the US.

          Cheers!

        • garyk30 says:

          Used 5’5” as average human’s height and I figured the average ant as being 0.25 inches high.
          Also used 8,000 miles as Earth’s diameter.
          5’5” is 65 inches.
          65 divided by 0.25 inches = 260
          8,000 divided by 260 = 30.8
          Rounded up to 31 miles

  3. beobrigitte says:

    Smoking bans entail the expulsion of a quarter or a third of a population from the rest of society. Fully a quarter or a third of a population are made pariahs. All in the name of “health”.

    Smoking bans are the mother of all social divisions in the works. Already the “too big” ones are being nudged/kicked into the door of social exclusion. There are videos on youtube whining about the legal drug alcohol and demands for new laws/ban for this-that-and-the-other which undoubtedly in the end excludes about everyone from the “desired” society.

    We sure live in interesting times……

  4. Joe L. says:

    And what was more “progressive” than all the smoking bans that have swept the world in the last decade or two?

    And what was more divisive?

    Smoking bans entail the expulsion of a quarter or a third of a population from the rest of society.

    While there is a tremendous amount of cutural and ideological division among society today, it is only smokers who are forced to be physically segregated. Thus, I wholeheartedly agree that there is currently nothing more divisive than smoking bans.

    • waltc says:

      True. People who want a burger at their desk or at home in their apartment are not forced to eat it outside on the street, 25 feet away from their doorway. People who want a beaujolais at the bistro are not forced to drink it outside in the rain.

  5. Pingback: Adventures in Proof Reading… – Library of Libraries

  6. slugbop007 says:

    I suggested that you look up Space Engine and Universe Sandbox last week. You might like US because it has many variables that you can change with a click. It might help you develop your theory on what’s going on deep inside the Earth.

    Cheers slugbop007

  7. slugbop007 says:

    I have dreams where I don’t know where to go to have a smoke. I wake up in the middle of the night and get very upset about all the fraud, corruptiona and absurdity of it all. Sometimes I get scared. We have to stop these people before they really get out of hand. Fanatics of any stripe are extremely intransigent. That makes them very dangerous.

    slugbop007

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