One thing that’s puzzling me about the Conservative No Confidence vote of a couple of days back is this: why did the rebels call for a vote if they knew they were going to lose?
For when I first read about it, it was reported that Theresa May was expected to survive the vote.
I can only suppose that the rebels expected to win.
Why might that have been? Because they’re received enough promises from among the 317 Conservative MPs in parliament to believe that they had the necessary number of votes to topple Theresa May.
So I can only suppose that some MPs must have been a) promising the rebels they would vote for them, and b) promising Theresa May that they’d back her. And they’d been lying to somebody or other.
And there seem to have been at least 42 of these double-dealing MPs. Are we going to find out their names? I saw yesterday a link to some website that purported to have a list of MPs and how they voted, but it was behind a paywall so I couldn’t see it.
A lot of people in the Conservative party must be very, very angry at some of their colleagues. They’re probably no longer on speaking terms. The whole fiasco would seem to have deeply divided the Conservative party, perhaps irreparably.
I suppose we’ll find out in due course.
The other thing that’s puzzling me is: why did Theresa May head off to Brussels, on the day after the vote, to “negotiate” with the EU, when they’d already said there weren’t going to be any more negotiations?
Wasn’t the day after the vote the time to set out to unite the Conservative party, smooth ruffled feather, pour oil on troubled waters? Shouldn’t she have been on radio and TV everywhere, talking to people in Britain? Why did she immediately head for Brussels?
It didn’t seem to be quite the right thing to be doing, after such a momentous vote.
But it all makes sense if she’s a Remainer, and essentially one of the European political class. She may well feel more at home in Brussels than she does in Westminster. She’s probably got lots of friends there.
And maybe that’s why she always comes over as being so very confident. She has lots of friends in Europe, and lots of friends in the Conservative party.
There’s a lot that has yet to be played out. Doesn’t her Brexit deal need to get the approval of Parliament? Last I heard, she was unlikely to get that approval. Is anything likely to change in that respect?
I think it’s going to be some months before we know exactly where we are. But I strongly suspect that when she said “Brexit means Brexit”, she was really saying that Brexit could mean whatever she wanted it to mean.