An Impending Political Krakatoa Event

For the past 3 months I’ve been piecing together a theory of how ice ages come and go, based on the physics of heat flow with which I used to work 40 years ago.

The theory is very simple: Snow and ice settle on a cool Earth, and build up to form deep glaciers. But this mantle of ice acts as a layer of insulation, and the Earth beneath the ice warms up, and it eventually gets hot enough to melt all the ice. After that the Earth cools down again, and the ice returns. And in this manner the cycle repeats over hundreds of thousands of years.

And this morning, thinking about the European Union and the old Soviet Union, it struck me that one might think about politics in the exact same way. During ‘cool’ political periods, bureaucracies gradually grow. And the bureaucracies multiply. There come to be more and more layers of top-down state control. Pretty much everything becomes top-down state-controlled and state-owned. And the people beneath these layers of bureaucracy are increasingly utterly crushed.

And this is the political ‘ice age’. The Soviet Union was a Russian political ice age, with the Russian people buried under layers and layers of bureaucratic, top-down state control. The People’s Republic of China, which appeared not long afterwards, was a Chinese ‘ice age’, with the same top-down state control. And the break-up of the Soviet Union was the end of the Russian ice age. The glacial ice sheets melted away, and the Soviet Union broke up into separate states.

But at more or less the same time, Europe was gradually descending into its own ice age: the ice age of the European Union. Once again bureaucracy multiplied, and also layers of government, and rules and regulations, and top-down  state planning.

And to a lesser extent the same thing has been happening in the USA as well, with mounting numbers of three-letter government agencies – EPA, DEA, CIA, etc -.

But in all cases these bureaucratic ice sheets have been erected on top of a base that is made up of the people of these countries – Russia, China, Europe, America, etc -, and while these peoples remain passive while the bureaucratic ice sheets (reminiscent of Soviet “wedding cake” architecture) grow, they do not remain passive for very long. They slowly get angrier and angrier, or, in other words, hotter and hotter. Bottom-up revolt brews against the top-down state control.

This has probably been clearest in the USA, where the American people – those who actually live there – are increasingly in revolt against the Deep State that has been gradually settling over them in multiplying layers of bureaucracy for the past 60 or 70 years. The Tea Party and the election of Donald Trump are a symptom of this growing bottom-up popular revolt.

And in Europe, Brexit was also a symptom of a growing revolt against the European Deep State.

One might also add that, during these ice ages when layers of bureaucratic ice settle over a region, the elites at the very top of the ice (the icing on top of the cake?) become increasingly detached from the ordinary people at the bottom. They increasingly live different lives, and have different concerns. The elites think globally, and the ordinary people think locally. The elites worry about carbon dioxide and ozone and and acid rain; the people worry about bread and butter.

The peoples of Europe are beginning to get angry with their arrogant overlords in Brussels. But something I read last night had me think that the peoples of Europe were soon going to explode with rage:

‘Bombshell’ population growth in Africa means Europe is entering an “unprecedented” age of mass migration, Emmanuel Macron has said, asserting that the two continents’ destinies are “bound”.

“The migratory phenomenon we are facing will be historic,” declared the French president in a television appearance Sunday night, when he announced that “great poverty”, “climate change”, and “geopolitical conflicts” will see Africans flooding into Europe “for many years to come”.

To back up his point, Macron pointed to “bombshell” population gr0wth across the third world continent, which he added has been “tremendously well described” by French-American journalist and professor Stephen Smith in a recent book.

“[Africans] are mostly turning to Europe because the continent [of Europe] is not an island, because of our location, and because Europe has its destiny bound with Africa,” stated the vehemently pro-EU French figure during a two-hour long interview.

Smith, the Africa expert to whom Macron referred during his appearance on BFMTV, estimates that the number of Africans living in Europe will grow from nine million to between 150 million and 200 million within the next 30 years.

So… one European elite politician (no less a figure than the French President!), backed up by an elite university expert, is telling Europe’s 500 million citizens that they’re going to have to take in another 200 million Africans.

Really?

That is not going to happen. The peoples of Europe will not allow it to happen. What’s far more likely is that Emmanuel Macron and Stephen Smith – and in fact the entire European political and academic elite – will be carried in tumbrils to the Place de la Concorde, and there guillotined.

For here we have an example of how detached from reality and from common sense these elites have become. Stephen Smith is a batshit-crazy US academic like Stanton Glantz or Michael Mann, and Emmanuel Macron is a batshit-crazy European politician like Angela Merkel or Tony Blair. They all of them live in a delusory world disconnected from any reality, and they’re all about to be completely swept away by an eruption of anger across the whole of Europe, as the peoples of Europe rise up against them.

I’ve been thinking in recent years that there’s a revolt against the European political class under way. But I now think that there’s also a revolt against top-down state-controlled universities, top-down state-controlled mass media,  top-down state-controlled medicine,  top-down state-controlled everything. The whole lot is about to be blown sky high in what will be a political Krakatoa event.

No, 200 million Africans are not going to move to Europe. There’ll be a Mediterranean fleet (including a British fleet in Gibraltar) to stop them crossing the sea. All the states of Europe will be united against them. And Israel will stop them walking round the Mediterranean littoral. And if the entire existing batshit-crazy European elites need to be got rid of in order to do this, that’s what will happen to them.

The political ice age that has settled over Europe for the past 60 years is coming to an end. The political elites in Brussels are losing control. Soon they’re all going to be swept away by a wave of popular anger. And the bureaucratic Deep State they’ve been slowly and painstakingly building, layer by layer, is going to melt away, and melt away very rapidly.

And all the top-down, bureaucrat-controlling smoking bans now in place almost everywhere in Europe will be swept away too. The ordinary people never wanted them. Only batshit-crazy doctors like Dr W, or George Godber, or Elliott Bettman, ever wanted them.

It’ll be a fast and furious time. And when it’s over, Europe will slowly cool back down, and as it cools and quietens, the bureaucratic ice will start to grow once again, like it always does.

About Frank Davis

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6 Responses to An Impending Political Krakatoa Event

  1. beobrigitte says:

    That is not going to happen. The peoples of Europe will not allow it to happen.
    With the ever increasing GERMAN old age poverty and homelessness people in Germany (especially in the northern Bundeslaender) indeed have become disgruntled.
    There is a new thing happening:
    http://www.dw.com/en/syrian-refugees-leaving-germany-over-family-reunification-policy/a-43358055
    However, the bulk of the refugees turned out to be economic migrants, so I do not know if this has any impact.

    What’s far more likely is that Emmanuel Macron and Stephen Smith – and in fact the entire European political and academic elite – will be carried in tumbrils to the Place de la Concorde, and there guillotined.
    Frank!!!! This is not going to happen.

    No, 200 million Africans are not going to move to Europe. There’ll be a Mediterranean fleet (including a British fleet in Gibraltar) to stop them crossing the sea.
    The Libyans – just like the Italians – have reached breaking point. Naive European NGOs have boats circling 12 Miles off North Africa’s coast line in order to pick up Africans in overcrowded dinghies which resulted in people smugglers to profit even more from the trade and the Italians having to deal with far more refugees than anticipated.
    https://www.news24.com/Africa/News/libya-threatens-to-seize-ngo-migrant-rescue-boats-20170927
    However, I do admit that I’m not up to the latest.

    And all the top-down, bureaucrat-controlling smoking bans now in place almost everywhere in Europe will be swept away too. The ordinary people never wanted them. Only batshit-crazy doctors like Dr W, or George Godber, or Elliott Bettman, ever wanted them.
    I personally think that it will take a first world pandemic of a previously unknown strain of multi-resistant mico-organism or a natural disaster, such as a super volcano (e.g. Mount Vesuvius in Europe) eruption to cull tobacco control very quickly.
    A slower option is spreading collective disobedience and people’s protest votes.
    I do wonder which will come first.

    It’ll be a fast and furious time. And when it’s over, Europe will slowly cool back down, and as it cools and quietens, the bureaucratic ice will start to grow once again, like it always does.
    Unfortunately, yes. Everything goes full cycle.

  2. Timbotoo says:

    Excellent. I have been thinking along the same lines about Venezuela. Given that the corruption started as soon as the last military dictator was kicked out, the (hopefully) coming regime change will change the actors and within a few years we’ll be back where we started.

  3. Smoking Lamp says:

    Emmanuel Macron, president of France sees much the same thing although he is on the side of European integration. He sees the situation as “an increasing fascination with illiberalism” in Europe and that divisions over values within the European Union were like “a European civil war.”

    He ignores the ‘illiberal’ tactics of the EU itself and instead focuses on the perceived excesses of its rivals. Indeed calling the situation a ‘civil war’ denies the inherent sovereignty of individual nations in the same wat smoking bans deny individual liberty and sovereignty over ones’ own choices.

    Turning the frames of reference on their heads is a typical ‘revolutionary’ tactic used by radicals to shape the environment toward their preferred outcome. Of course Orwell’s newspeak is just that. Calling the EU a ‘liberal democracy’ is newspeak at its best. Macron is right on one thing however, a confrontation on the European continent is coming and it promises to be complex and at times violent. Hopefully the revolutionary zeal of the social controllers will be overturned and a new truly ‘liberal’ balance restored.

    Marcon’s comments can be found at the New York Times: Fight Over Values Risks a ‘European Civil War,’ Macron Says” https://www.nytimes.com/2018/04/17/world/europe/macron-european-parliament-strasbourg.html

    In any event, smokers need to stand up and be heard during the turmoil so that smoking bans are repealed. This will likely happen incrementally, especially as ‘cold’ conflict turns ‘hot’ just as it has in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq. it’s not that the social controllers and tobacco control zealots give up, the public determines there are more serious issues to deal with and steal whatever pleasure and release from fear and tension whenever they can and that typically involves lighting up a cigarette over a drink with friends at night when the battle rhythm slows.

  4. Pingback: OUR Children | Bolton Smokers Club

  5. waltc says:

    On the one hand, there’s even an open rebellion (and law suit, I believe) by 20-some counties in California against the state’s open borders/ sanctuary policy and a ballot petition to divide the state in three to escape Sacramento’s disastrous and destructive top down governance. (Huddled masses yearning to breathe free.) Then again, the move to separation –Calexit?– will fail, outvoted by San Francisco and L.A. On the other hand, a segment on Tucker Carlson tonight, showed that Swedes are fleeing an increasingly violent and unSwedish Sweden in which they’re predicted to be a minority in less than 30 years at current rates of migration. And since the government promotes this and the media and law enforcement are silent, the game may be over before the slow-burning and muted volcano gets to blow.

    And there goes The Enlightenment.

    I guess the joke is that Merkel, Macron et al will be the first to be beheaded by their new invitees.

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