For the past 3 months I’ve been piecing together a theory of how ice ages come and go, based on the physics of heat flow with which I used to work 40 years ago.
The theory is very simple: Snow and ice settle on a cool Earth, and build up to form deep glaciers. But this mantle of ice acts as a layer of insulation, and the Earth beneath the ice warms up, and it eventually gets hot enough to melt all the ice. After that the Earth cools down again, and the ice returns. And in this manner the cycle repeats over hundreds of thousands of years.
And this morning, thinking about the European Union and the old Soviet Union, it struck me that one might think about politics in the exact same way. During ‘cool’ political periods, bureaucracies gradually grow. And the bureaucracies multiply. There come to be more and more layers of top-down state control. Pretty much everything becomes top-down state-controlled and state-owned. And the people beneath these layers of bureaucracy are increasingly utterly crushed.
And this is the political ‘ice age’. The Soviet Union was a Russian political ice age, with the Russian people buried under layers and layers of bureaucratic, top-down state control. The People’s Republic of China, which appeared not long afterwards, was a Chinese ‘ice age’, with the same top-down state control. And the break-up of the Soviet Union was the end of the Russian ice age. The glacial ice sheets melted away, and the Soviet Union broke up into separate states.
But at more or less the same time, Europe was gradually descending into its own ice age: the ice age of the European Union. Once again bureaucracy multiplied, and also layers of government, and rules and regulations, and top-down state planning.
And to a lesser extent the same thing has been happening in the USA as well, with mounting numbers of three-letter government agencies – EPA, DEA, CIA, etc -.
But in all cases these bureaucratic ice sheets have been erected on top of a base that is made up of the people of these countries – Russia, China, Europe, America, etc -, and while these peoples remain passive while the bureaucratic ice sheets (reminiscent of Soviet “wedding cake” architecture) grow, they do not remain passive for very long. They slowly get angrier and angrier, or, in other words, hotter and hotter. Bottom-up revolt brews against the top-down state control.
This has probably been clearest in the USA, where the American people – those who actually live there – are increasingly in revolt against the Deep State that has been gradually settling over them in multiplying layers of bureaucracy for the past 60 or 70 years. The Tea Party and the election of Donald Trump are a symptom of this growing bottom-up popular revolt.
And in Europe, Brexit was also a symptom of a growing revolt against the European Deep State.
One might also add that, during these ice ages when layers of bureaucratic ice settle over a region, the elites at the very top of the ice (the icing on top of the cake?) become increasingly detached from the ordinary people at the bottom. They increasingly live different lives, and have different concerns. The elites think globally, and the ordinary people think locally. The elites worry about carbon dioxide and ozone and and acid rain; the people worry about bread and butter.
The peoples of Europe are beginning to get angry with their arrogant overlords in Brussels. But something I read last night had me think that the peoples of Europe were soon going to explode with rage:
‘Bombshell’ population growth in Africa means Europe is entering an “unprecedented” age of mass migration, Emmanuel Macron has said, asserting that the two continents’ destinies are “bound”.
“The migratory phenomenon we are facing will be historic,” declared the French president in a television appearance Sunday night, when he announced that “great poverty”, “climate change”, and “geopolitical conflicts” will see Africans flooding into Europe “for many years to come”.
To back up his point, Macron pointed to “bombshell” population gr0wth across the third world continent, which he added has been “tremendously well described” by French-American journalist and professor Stephen Smith in a recent book.
“[Africans] are mostly turning to Europe because the continent [of Europe] is not an island, because of our location, and because Europe has its destiny bound with Africa,” stated the vehemently pro-EU French figure during a two-hour long interview.
Smith, the Africa expert to whom Macron referred during his appearance on BFMTV, estimates that the number of Africans living in Europe will grow from nine million to between 150 million and 200 million within the next 30 years.
So… one European elite politician (no less a figure than the French President!), backed up by an elite university expert, is telling Europe’s 500 million citizens that they’re going to have to take in another 200 million Africans.
That is not going to happen. The peoples of Europe will not allow it to happen. What’s far more likely is that Emmanuel Macron and Stephen Smith – and in fact the entire European political and academic elite – will be carried in tumbrils to the Place de la Concorde, and there guillotined.
For here we have an example of how detached from reality and from common sense these elites have become. Stephen Smith is a batshit-crazy US academic like Stanton Glantz or Michael Mann, and Emmanuel Macron is a batshit-crazy European politician like Angela Merkel or Tony Blair. They all of them live in a delusory world disconnected from any reality, and they’re all about to be completely swept away by an eruption of anger across the whole of Europe, as the peoples of Europe rise up against them.
I’ve been thinking in recent years that there’s a revolt against the European political class under way. But I now think that there’s also a revolt against top-down state-controlled universities, top-down state-controlled mass media, top-down state-controlled medicine, top-down state-controlled everything. The whole lot is about to be blown sky high in what will be a political Krakatoa event.
No, 200 million Africans are not going to move to Europe. There’ll be a Mediterranean fleet (including a British fleet in Gibraltar) to stop them crossing the sea. All the states of Europe will be united against them. And Israel will stop them walking round the Mediterranean littoral. And if the entire existing batshit-crazy European elites need to be got rid of in order to do this, that’s what will happen to them.
The political ice age that has settled over Europe for the past 60 years is coming to an end. The political elites in Brussels are losing control. Soon they’re all going to be swept away by a wave of popular anger. And the bureaucratic Deep State they’ve been slowly and painstakingly building, layer by layer, is going to melt away, and melt away very rapidly.
And all the top-down, bureaucrat-controlling smoking bans now in place almost everywhere in Europe will be swept away too. The ordinary people never wanted them. Only batshit-crazy doctors like Dr W, or George Godber, or Elliott Bettman, ever wanted them.
It’ll be a fast and furious time. And when it’s over, Europe will slowly cool back down, and as it cools and quietens, the bureaucratic ice will start to grow once again, like it always does.