Freezing Arctic Blast Looms

Maybe it’s because I’ve been piecing together a new theory of ice ages, but I seem to suddenly be noticing weather reports. Like this one:

A ‘polar vortex’ is set to grip Britain with a freezing Arctic blast which could send temperatures plummeting to below zero, forecasters have warned.

Metrologists said a sudden stratospheric warming will bring bitter cold winds from Eastern Europe to the UK that could last well into next month.

I may be becoming something of an ice age alarmist. I’ve never been much of a believer in global warming, and the prospect of it seemed to be something to welcome. Even more so if, as I am coming to believe, what we should really be concerned about is a new ice age, as the surface of the Earth gradually cools.

Which reminds me that meteoearth is a pretty good site for global weather.

And I’m noticing other people’s weather. Regular commenter and Smoky Drinky Bar habitué RdM lives in New Zealand, and is expecting a friend of his to arrive from the south island today. There would seem to be a strong likelihood that flights are now being cancelled as Cyclone Gita passes over:

New Zealand’s national airline cancelled all flights in and out of the capital, Wellington, as authorities issued warnings of severe weather and heavy rain and gusts of up to 93mph.

Polar vortexes, cyclones, ice ages.

And an earthquake last Saturday.

Perhaps the world is coming to an end?

About Frank Davis

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14 Responses to Freezing Arctic Blast Looms

  1. garyk30 says:

    Yes, an ‘ice age’ is coming.
    The question is not if, the question is when and how long will it last?

    Your data has shown this to be true.

  2. Rose says:

    Earth heading for ‘mini ice age’ within 15 years
    11 Jul 2015

    “Research has predicted a new solar ‘Maunder minimum’ in the 2030s”
    Solar researchers at the University of Northumbria have created a new model of the sun’s activity which they claim produces “unprecedentedly accurate predictions”.

    They said fluid movements within the sun, which are thought to create 11-year cycles in the weather, will converge in the 2030s.
    Solar activity will fall by 60 per cent as two waves of fluid “effectively cancel each other out”, Prof Valentina Zharkova said in a presentation to the National Astronomy Meeting in Llandudno.”

    “[In the cycle between 2030 and around 2040] the two waves exactly mirror each other – peaking at the same time but in opposite hemispheres of the sun,” she said.
    “Their interaction will be disruptive, or they will nearly cancel each other.

    “We predict that this will lead to the properties of a ‘Maunder minimum'”.

    Maunder minimum, indicating low sunspot activity, was the name given to the period between 1645 and 1715, when Europe and North America experienced very cold winters.”

    Two years later.

    Earth could be plunged into mini Ice Age – and it could REVERSE global warming
    Thu, Dec 28, 2017

    “AN Ice Age is potentially coming and scientists have claimed it could reverse damage from global warming.”

    “Maths professor Valentina Zharkova at Northumbria University said the Ice Age could help offset the damage of global warming.

    She said: “I hope global warning will be overridden by this effect, giving humankind and the Earth 30 years to sort out our pollution.”

    The Guardian fires back

    The ‘imminent mini ice age’ myth is back, and it’s still wrong
    9 January 2018

    Why won’t this myth die?

    “Zharkova believes her solar model is correct, but at best it can only try to predict when the next quiet solar period will occur. Its influence on Earth’s climate is outside her expertise, and the peer-reviewed research is clear that it would be a minimal impact.

    Zharkova disagrees – I contacted her, and she told me that she believes a grand solar minimum would have a much bigger cooling effect. However, she also referenced long-debunked myths about global warming on Mars and Jupiter, and made a comment about “the preachers of global warming.” She’s clearly passionate about her research, and has the credibility that comes with publishing peer-reviewed studies on solar activity. Perhaps these factors motivate journalists to write these frequent ‘mini ice age’ stories.

    But Zharkova’s climate science beliefs are irrelevant. While she has created a model predicting an imminent period of quiet solar activity, other scientists have identified serious flaws in the model, and in any case, research has shown that another solar minimum would only have a small and temporary impact on Earth’s climate.”

    My money is on Zharkova.

  3. nisakiman says:

    It’s all down to Anthropogenic Global Warming, innit? Doomsday approaches.

    But if we all go back to living in yurts and pursuing a hunter – gatherer existence, disaster will be averted.

    It’s true.

    Experts have said.

  4. garyk30 says:

    Global warming has stopped.

    The following is only an abbreviated list of places that have not cooled in a long time, and Kenneth says there are hundreds more like these. Many are from the results of very recent papers. Click on the links provided for the charts.

    Since 1870s – no warming
    Greenland – no warming
    New Zealand – no warming
    Antarctica – no warming
    North Atlantic – no warming
    Western Pacific – no warming
    India/Western Himalaya – no warming
    Pakistan – no warming
    Turkey – no warming
    Himalayas/Nepal – no warming
    Siberia – no warming
    Portugal – no warming
    NE China – no warming
    SW China – no warming
    South China – no warming
    West China – no warming
    Southern South America – no warming
    Canada (B.C.) – no warming
    Canada Central – no warming

    Since 1940s/50s – no warming
    Northern Hemisphere – no warming
    Arctic Region – no warming
    Greenland – no warming
    South Iceland – no warming
    North Iceland – no warming
    Alaska – no warming
    New York – no warming
    Rural U.S. – no warming
    Northern Europe – no warming
    Western Europe – no warming
    Mediterranean Region – no warming
    Finland and Sweden – no warming
    East Antarctica – no warming
    North Atlantic – no warming
    Western North Atlantic – no warming
    Brazil – no warming
    SE Australia – no warming
    Southern South America – no warming
    Andes Mountains – no warming
    Chile – no warming

    • Rose says:

      A trip down Memory Lane, Gary.

      World misled over Himalayan glacier meltdown
      Jan 18, 2010

      “A WARNING that climate change will melt most of the Himalayan glaciers by 2035 is likely to be retracted after a series of scientific blunders by the United Nations body that issued it.

      Two years ago the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) issued a benchmark report that was claimed to incorporate the latest and most detailed research into the impact of global warming. A central claim was the world’s glaciers were melting so fast that those in the Himalayas could vanish by 2035.

      In the past few days the scientists behind the warning have admitted that it was based on a news story in the New Scientist, a popular science journal, published eight years before the IPCC’s 2007 report.

      It has also emerged that the New Scientist report was itself based on a short telephone interview with Syed Hasnain, a little-known Indian scientist then based at Jawaharlal Nehru University in Delhi.”

      “WWF cited it in a report called An Overview of Glaciers, Glacier Retreat, and Subsequent Impacts in Nepal, India and China. The report credited Hasnain’s 1999 interview with the New Scientist. But it was a campaigning report rather than an academic paper so it was not subjected to any formal scientific review. Despite this it rapidly became a key source for the IPCC when Lal and his colleagues came to write the section on the Himalayas.

      When finally published, the IPCC report did give its source as the WWF study but went further, suggesting the likelihood of the glaciers melting was “very high”. The IPCC defines this as having a probability of greater than 90%.

      The report read: “Glaciers in the Himalaya are receding faster than in any other part of the world and, if the present rate continues, the likelihood of them disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high if the Earth keeps warming at the current rate.”

      Rajendra Pachauri, the IPCC chairman, has previously dismissed criticism of the Himalayas claim as “voodoo science”.
      http: // … 991177.ece

      UN climate change expert: there could be more errors in report

      “The Indian head of the UN climate change panel defended his position today even as further errors were identified in the panel’s assessment of Himalayan glaciers.
      Dr Rajendra Pachauri dismissed calls for him to resign over the Inter-governmental Panel on Climate Change’s retraction of a prediction that Himalayan glaciers could disappear by 2035”

      “But he admitted that there may have been other errors in the same section of the report, and said that he was considering whether to take action against those responsible.
      “I know a lot of climate sceptics are after my blood, but I’m in no mood to oblige them,” he told The Times in an interview. “It was a collective failure by a number of people,” he said. “I need to consider what action to take, but that will take several weeks. It’s best to think with a cool head, rather than shoot from the hip.”

      The IPCC’s 2007 report, which won it the Nobel Peace Prize, said that the probability of Himalayan glaciers “disappearing by the year 2035 and perhaps sooner is very high”.

      But it emerged last week that the forecast was based not on a consensus among climate change experts, but on a media interview with a single Indian glaciologist in 1999.
      http: // … 999051.ece

      UN climate panel blunders again over Himalayan glaciers
      Jan 24 2010

      “The chairman of the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), has used bogus claims that Himalayan glaciers were melting to win grants worth hundreds of thousands of pounds.

      “Rajendra Pachauri’s Energy and Resources Institute (TERI), based in New Delhi, was awarded up to £310,000 by the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the lion’s share of a £2.5m EU grant funded by European taxpayers.
      It means that EU taxpayers are funding research into a scientific claim about glaciers that any ice researcher should immediately recognise as bogus”

      “In India questions are also being asked about Pachauri’s links with GloriOil, a Houston, Texas-based oil technology company that specialises in recovering extra oil from declining oil fields . Pachauri is listed as a founder and scientific advisor.
      Critics say it is odd for a man committed to decarbonising energy supplies to be linked to an oil company.”
      http: // … 999975.ece

      • RdM says:

        OT: ~ Frank! ;=})

        ♪ ♫ ¡See you in the SmokyDrinkyBar tonight¿ ♫ ♪

      • RdM says:

        I’m embarrassed that the birthday greetings went there;- I’d intended to post a new comment at the bottom, but forgot that I’d opened ah a maybe relevant reply here… which I later dismissed as possibly too trivial.

        Here it is anyway then:

        all bases covered!
        February 16, 2018 by admin

        The UK’s weather will become both too wet and too dry – and also too cold and too hot – as climate change increases the frequency of extreme events, the Met Office has warned in a new report.

        Its scientists concluded that on average the UK will see wetter, milder winters and hotter, drier summers in the long term due to global warming.

        But the natural year-to-year variability of weather will also mean occasional very cold winters, like that of 2010-11, and very wet summers, like that of 2012.
        The Guardian, 26 Mar 2014

    • RdM says:

      Further to that, check out the long list of broken low temperature records in the 6th comment down in this post!

  5. Clicky says:

  6. RdM says:

    Regular commenter and Smoky Drinky Bar habitué RdM lives in New Zealand, and is expecting a friend of his to arrive from the south island today. There would seem to be a strong likelihood that flights are now being cancelled as Cyclone Gita passes over […] New Zealand’s national airline cancelled all flights in and out of the capital, Wellington

    Actually I had said “down south” I think;- anyway, he was coming from Wellington and in fact his pre-booked flight was the last one out yesterday before they cancelled the rest of them.

    Gita has passed over and is off to the East now:

    Check out this beautiful hand-drawn map!

  7. RdM says:

    Happy 70 years, and many more decades to come, Frank!!

    ♪ ♫ ¡See you in the SmokyDrinkyBar tonight¿ ♫ ♪

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