Hurricane Donald makes landfall in Washington tomorrow. He’s taken about 18 months to come up from off the west coast of Africa as a little spinning disc of cloud. The Met Office forecasters kept on saying that he would never come to anything much, and he’d blow himself out somewhere over the Atlantic ocean. There were 17 or 18 other storms that started up around that time. Almost all of them were regarded as having a better chance of really going places than Donald. Hurricane Hillary, for example. And Hurricane Jeb. Donald was regarded as a bit of a joke.
But the eye of the storm is set to arrive over Washington at 12 noon local time, and the whole world is wondering what will happen next. My guess is that Donald is going to tear things up, and strew them everywhere. The US government – and the USA – is going to be shaken up in ways it probably can’t even begin to imagine.
Seventeen US intelligence agencies – SEVENTEEN – have said that Russia interfered in the US election to help get Trump elected, but none of them have a produced a shred of evidence, so far as I know. What I’m wondering, and I suspect Donald is also wondering, is: Does the USA really need 17 intelligence agencies? Wouldn’t one be enough? Those 17 agencies are little empires, most likely vying with all the others, hiding stuff from each other. But…
“Let me tell you: You take on the intelligence community — they have six ways from Sunday at getting back at you,” said Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer Tuesday evening on MSNBC
And what about the EPA, which is chock full of global warmists and antismoking zealots? Donald has already said that global warming is a Chinese hoax. Is he going to clean out this Augean stable as well? And when he sweeps out all the alarmists, is he going to sweep out the antismokers too?
And the MSM? I read something yesterday to the effect that Trump was planning on expanding the closed shop of the White House press corps to include lots more people, including friends on the internet like Infowars, Rush Limbaugh, Michael Savage, and more. It was to be expanded from 50 people to something like 400 people. If so, the current Mainstream Media will become Sidestream Media, no longer with special privileged access to the presidency. They won’t like that. But we may be about to see the eclipse of the MSM.
What about Draining The Swamp? And Building The Wall? So far as I know, Donald is still planning on doing those too. And he’s going to tear up NAFTA.
Draining the swamp might be the hardest thing to do, given the checks and balances built into the US constitution. What if Senate and Congress mount a concerted resistance to him? That looks all too likely.
And then there’s the rest of the world.
I’m expecting Trump to meet Putin very soon, as a matter of urgency. I’m expecting him to call off the NATO build-up on Russia’s borders. And I’m expecting that they’ll announce joint Russian-American operations against ISIS/ISIL/Daesh.
The UK’s Theresa May is scheduled to meet him early in February, as best I understand. I suspect that he’ll offer every assistance and encouragement for her to make Brexit a reality. The UK government has really just been treading water for the past 6 months since the Brexit vote – of which Trump thoroughly approved. Just a couple of days ago she declared she was in favour of a ‘hard’ Brexit, cutting nearly all the ties with Europe. And I imagine she did that with Trump’s encouragement and approval.
And so what about the EU, which Trump sees as the embodiment of socialism? With relations with Russia warming rapidly, and the UK moving sharply away from Europe, the EU might find itself getting sharply squeezed. Furthermore Trump has said he expects other European member states to break away, and he’ll probably be encouraging them to do so. And he’ll be demanding that the EU pays its fair share towards a NATO that he no longer sees as needed anyway – and which won’t be if the Russian thaw becomes complete (as it should have done 25 or more years ago).
And China? Is he going to slap tariffs on Chinese imports? Is he going to start a trade war with China? If Russia is pleased at the election of Donald Trump, China is not.
There are going to be howls of protest, whatever he does. And the howls of protest will be amplified by the fact that most of the MSM in the world are opposed to him. The howls will start tomorrow, and they’ll just get louder and louder. It’ll become a non-stop scream.
I just wonder whether Trump has bitten off more than he can chew. And whether he’ll create too many enemies. He’s already got a lot, even before taking office. I suspect he’s soon going to make a lot more.
He’s a man of extraordinary energy, but I wonder if the effort of doing everything he wants to do is going to exhaust him. Hillary Clinton’s health came under close scrutiny before the election. But what about Trump’s health? He’s a large, florid man. And he’s 70 years old. And he doesn’t exercise much. I don’t think he’s playing much golf these days (although I read a report that he played a few holes with Tiger Woods recently). I won’t be too surprised if he has a heart attack or something, six months into his presidency.
What else? Trump is someone who has spent his life building things. Hotels, apartment blocks, casinos, golf courses. What’s notable about all those things is that they’re all about good living and pleasure. And he surrounds himself with all the accoutrements of wealth and good living – even though he doesn’t smoke or drink. For him, that’s what life is really all about. And when he’s doing trade deals, I suspect that he wants the same for everyone else as well. I don’t think anyone who enjoys playing golf can be a killjoy. Not a complete one, anyway. And I don’t think someone who’s become a great chum of smoking, drinking Nigel Farage can be either.
But really, what do I know? As I’ve said before, US presidents are like Roman empires. And I have no idea what goes on in the inner circles of imperial courts.
The shouting and wailing and screaming has been going on for 18 months already. The noise levels are going to notch up another 50 decibels tomorrow. It’s going to be a rollercoaster ride, with lurid headlines every day. Maybe lurid headlines two or three times a day.