I’ve been wondering today what’s likely to happen in Europe if there carry on being Islamic terrorist attacks every week or every month. Yesterday it was 9 Germans killed, and last week 84 French.
I think there are going to be louder and louder calls on EU governments to crack down on Islam or Islamic fundamentalism – something that multi-culturalist EU governments don’t wish to do. But if EU governments aren’t going to do anything, then EU citizens will start doing it themselves, and start launching counter-terror attacks on Muslims, in what will amount to civil war. And if not that, then Europeans are at very least going to become much more supportive of political parties that take a tough line on Islam, and this will see the demise of the old European political order as far-right (and maybe far-left) parties get stronger.
It’ll essentially be an increasingly angry population against the ineffectual, foot-dragging EU elites. We could see governments being toppled. And the EU disintegrate.
But what practically can be done to prevent resident Islamic terrorist cells from launching attacks on Europeans? One possibility is that Muslims might be required to carry identification papers at all times, and they might have travel/movement restrictions placed on them. They might be confined to ghettos. And increasing numbers of them might be deported.
But if that were to happen, Europe might start to look like Nazi Germany, complete with concentration camps and deportations, except with Muslims replacing Jews and Gypsies. European governments would probably strongly resist doing anything like this, but outraged public opinion might force them anyway. A European fascist state might be created by popular demand.
In whose interests are such developments? If the Islamic State is the principal promoter of terror attacks, its goal would seem to be to neutralise the EU by fomenting civil war and the overthrow of European governments. But if (as some people are suggesting) the current wave of attacks are all false flag attacks, the goal might instead be to create a single European fascist state, as EU citizens demand (and get) strong state countermeasures in response to a perceived existential threat.
So the wave of terror attacks might result in either the disintegration of the EU, or its fusion into a single fascist state.
It may all hinge on who gets elected as the next US president. If it’s Hillary Clinton, then the US government will continue promoting a stronger EU, and the EU will likely fuse into a monolithic fascist state. If it’s Donald Trump, he’ll almost certainly promote a Europe of sovereign nation states, and we’ll see the disintegration of the EU.
Related are former Assistant Secretary of the US Treasury Paul Craig Roberts’ views on Brexit, set out in the video below. He thinks that, unless it leaves immediately, Britain will be punished for voting to leave, with the Brexit leaders (Boris Johnson, etc) defamed, and with a run on the pound and UK stocks. He advises not waiting 2 years to leave the EU, but getting out now. The longer it’s delayed, the more certain retribution will be, and Britons will be made to regret voting for Brexit.
But again, it seems to me that it all depends who’s going to be the next US president. If it’s Donald Trump, Brexit will happen. If it’s Hillary Clinton, it won’t.
I continue to think, as I have for much of the past year, that Donald Trump will be elected as the next US president. I think he’s a much stronger candidate than Hillary Clinton, in more or less every way. I also think that Hillary Clinton is the continuity candidate offering business as usual, and Trump is the only candidate who is likely to bring the kind of change that is wanted not only by his Republican grass root supporters, but also Democratic Bernie supporters (many of whom won’t vote for Hillary).
But in this respect, in other writings and videos Paul Craig Roberts has said that a Trump presidency would most likely be hamstrung by a Congress that forces continuity backers into key positions in his administration.