These terrorist atrocities are happening once a month now, pretty much.
President Hollande’s promise of a “military response” to the latest atrocity can only mean that French jets are going to bomb Islamic State facilities in Syria or Iraq, killing tens or hundreds of people. But when the dust from those attacks has settled, some Mohamed in Baghdad will get on Twitter and ask some Mohamed in Bordeaux to hire another truck and drive it through any large crowd of people he can find. In this manner, indiscriminate killing will be met with indiscriminate killing, in a mounting cycle of asymmetric tit-for-tat violence.
Prseident Hollande has introduced a state of emergency, and put thousands of police on French streets, but that’s really just a cosmetic measure. Just exactly how do you stop someone living in some town in France from hiring a truck and using it to kill dozens of people in the same town? One thing is for sure: bombing Syria won’t stop it.
Just a couple of days back, a French intelligence chief, Patrick Calvar, warned that another big atrocity or two could spark a civil war.
Intelligence Chief: Another Terrorist Attack Could Spark Civil War
“All of Europe is in danger of rising extremism so we are, domestically, trying to put in place the resources to watch far right groups who are waiting for confrontation,” he told Parliamentarians.
“You’ll recall that I like to use direct language; well, I think a confrontation will take place.
“If another attack or two occur, it will happen. It is therefore down to us to anticipate and confound all those groups who would, at some point, spark clashes between communities.
Is it just me, or does Monsieur Calvar seem more worried about the French right than he is about Islamic terrorists? I suppose what he means is that enraged French people are likely to start attacking the mosques and Islamic districts that harbour home-grown Islamic terrorists. And since the French authorities seem incapable of preventing such terrorist attacks, that’s almost certainly what will happen. And towns in France will start to resemble the war zones in towns in Syria or Iraq.
The root of the problem, it seems to me, lies in the futile wars that have left failed states all over the Middle East and North Africa. These failed states produce angry terrorists and frightened refugees. And as long as these failed states exist, that’s all they’ll ever produce.
What’s needed isn’t more bombing campaigns against Isis or Al Qaeda or other terror organisations, but the creation of functioning states in place of failed states. If, nearly half a century after most European colonies were granted their independence, that entails effectively re-colonising failed states, and imposing military governorships upon them, then so be it.
And this time, the colonialists must remain for as long as it takes to establish solid, stable, and prosperous civil societies which won’t disintegrate into civil war as soon as they’re granted independence. Once there’s something approaching peace and stability and prosperity in states like Libya, they’ll stop generating both terrorists and refugees. And furthermore, many of the refugees who have been fleeing to Europe will then be able to be repatriated, easing the European tensions they have exacerbated.
The British were in India for some 200 years, and during that time they were able to create and maintain peace and stability across that highly diverse Indian subcontinent, as well as build a system of railways and schools and an effective government civil service. This legacy has endured for some 70 years since India gained its independence. If the same hasn’t happened in some other former colonies, it was probably because the British (or French or Spanish) simply weren’t there long enough to establish peaceful, stable, prosperous civil societies, and they rapidly disintegrated after being granted premature independence.
What has to be recognised is that the Clinton-Bush-Obama policy of toppling regimes, and then largely leaving them to piece themselves back together, simply doesn’t work. The policy just produces failed states, which breed terrorists and refugees. For historical reasons, Americans may be averse to colonialism, but if the USA remains a functioning civil society 240 years after gaining its independence, it’s because they enjoyed some 150 years of British colonial rule prior to independence, during which time they were able to construct and consolidate the foundations of the peaceful, stable, prosperous civil society which they enjoy today.
P.S. Coup in Turkey under way. ZeroHedge has live feed from Sky News.