Some Political Developments

I continue to watch the unfolding US election with great interest, and to think that Donald Trump is the best candidate in the field. Or at very least the most interesting one. The Knife evidently agrees, predicting:

  1. Trump will be the Republican candidate, without a brokered convention.
  2. The party will rally round him with a few unimportant exceptions.
  3. He will rapidly and overtly assemble a team of big hitters — few people will turn him down.
  4. He will win the election.
  5. That will primarily be because he’ll gain votes from former Democrats who can’t stand Hillary and actually like what Trump says, but they won’t tell pollsters that.

For what it’s worth, gazing across the pond, I think so too. Evidence for Democrats jumping ship (not the only evidence I’ve seen):

At least 1000 democrats had left their democratic party in Ohio. They said that they are switching to republican for one very specific reason….to vote for Trump.

Why? Because Trump isn’t a Conservative, as all the US talk radio hosts are at pains to point out. And maybe not even a Republican, given the loathing the Republican establishment have for him. He’s something completely different.

There’s little enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton. Bernie Sanders has been the one drawing the crowds on the Dem side, even though she almost certainly has the Democrat nomination sewn up.

A Clinton-Trump election will offer a genuine choice between Business As Usual and Something Completely Different: stick or twist. I guess it’ll be up to the American people to decide which they’d prefer.

In other news on this side of the pond,

France to hire FERRIES to send Calais migrants to Britain within HOURS of EU Out vote

MIGRANTS living in shanty camps in northern France will be put on ferries and sent to Britain the day after a vote to leave the EU, a French mayor warned last night.

and,

BREXIT THREAT: Spain will ‘take control of Gibraltar as soon as Britain leaves EU’

SPANISH officials have sent a chilling warning to Britain after claiming they will take Gibraltar the day after Britain potentially exits the European Union.

I can’t help but think that threats like these will push the undecided towards voting for Brexit. As this might too:

THE Queen has been hailed as a backer of Brexit tonight after details emerged of an extraordinary alleged bust-up between her and Nick Clegg over Europe.

Her Majesty let rip at the then Deputy PM during a lunch at Windsor Castle, The Sun has been told.

The 89-year-old monarch firmly told passionate pro-European Mr Clegg that she believed the EU was heading in the wrong direction.

Her stinging reprimand went on for “quite a while”, leaving other guests around the table stunned.

I would expect the Queen to be anti-EU. After all, there can be no place for any Queen (or King) once the UK is fully absorbed into the EU superstate. I’d expect her to be quietly removed, and packed off to Australia or Canada or somewhere, along with the two Young Pretenders, Harry and Wills.

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About Frank Davis

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43 Responses to Some Political Developments

  1. I’d certainly agree that he’s the most “interesting” but there’s a real downside as well: there’s talk of a real third-party effort out there, and since a third party candidate would likely be far more similar to Trump than to Hillary, it would split the vote and almost guarantee a win for Hillary. Remember: our system is different than what you deal with to some extent: It’s “Winner takes all!” even if, potentially, they only get 34% of the popular vote.

    – MJM

  2. harleyrider1978 says:

    Smoking Lamp says:

    March 8, 2016 at 5:36 pm

    Maybe some are starting to stir? Casper, Wyoming just repealed its bar smoking ban: “Light up: Casper repeals smoking ban for bars: http://www.union-bulletin.com/news/light-up-casper-repeals-smoking-ban-for-bars/article_9eeaaf1e-e54f-11e5-beac-10604b9f7e7c.html Of course the new report tries to downplay the development, and the antis are likely to try and force a new ban, but the tobacco control monolith is cracking.

    ………………….

    Sorry, the page you’re looking for cannot be found.

    404

    The page may have moved, you may have mistyped the address, or followed a bad link.

    Thy yanked our comments first then by 2pm they pulled the story too! lol

    • Smoking Lamp says:

      Yeah, it’s gone. Censorship at its best. They can’t let anyone know the facade is cracking.

      • Smoking Lamp says:

        Here is a link to a cached version: This is Google’s cache of http://www.union-bulletin.com/news/light-up-casper-repeals-smoking-ban-for-bars/article_9eeaaf1e-e54f-11e5-beac-10604b9f7e7c.html. It is a snapshot of the page as it appeared on Mar 9, 2016 05:18:07 GMT.

        Text was:

        Light up: Casper repeals smoking ban for bars
        MEAD GRUVER of The Associated Press 11 hrs ago

        CHEYENNE, Wyo. — Not all of America is moving toward banning smoking indoors and out. Months after prohibiting it, Casper, Wyo., is now telling smokers that it’s OK to light up in some public spaces.

        The City Council voted 5-4 Tuesday to repeal part of an indoor smoking ban in effect since September. The vote lifted the ban for bars, but kept it in place for restaurants.

        Bar owners had complained they were losing business to competitors in two nearby towns that allowed smoking. Repeal supporters also said it was an example of government getting too involved in civic life, citing New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s efforts to ban supersized soft drinks.

        “Just like what Mayor Bloomberg has done, or tried to do, with sugared drinks. It’s just not going to stop unless somebody stands up and says, ‘Wait a minute,’ and ‘Let’s use some common sense here,’” said Pat Sweeney, owner of a hotel with a bar now smoke-free because of the ban.

        There have been efforts in recent years to overturn smoking bans.

        In North Carolina, a legislative committee last month approved a bill that would have prevented local communities and community colleges from enacting smoking bans stricter than in state law. Health advocates said the measure would have overturned local bans on smoking in certain outdoor areas.

        The measure didn’t meet a key deadline and failed to advance.

        Last year, voters in Springfield, Mo., had a chance to repeal a year-old smoking ban enacted there. They voted against repeal by an almost 2-to-1 margin.

        Casper is a rare example of a ban — albeit a partial one — being repealed. A new crop of City Council members elected last fall made the difference. Three of the four new members voted for the changes.

        “The more liberal side of our populace is trying to get too much into touchy-feely and government control of everything,” said one of the new councilmen, Steve Cathey.

        Proponents of amending the ordinance said the changes apply to relatively few businesses. They include only about half a dozen bars. Most of Casper’s dozens of other bars are within restaurants or already prohibited smoking before the ban took effect.

        Smoking now will also be allowed in nursing homes (one nursing home in town had a designated smoking area that was closed) and areas of industrial shops and auto service centers not open to the public.

        The changes take effect June 28 but could be short-lived if opponents gather 2,465 valid signatures to put the matter before voters.

        “It’s unfortunate because a new council came in and they listened to a small group of people and didn’t listen to the majority of the people,” said Pam Evert, a local anti-smoking organizer.

        People on both sides of the issue said they expect a successful petition drive and a hard-fought campaign to win over their fellow citizens.

        “They’re trying to socially engineer us,” said Sweeney. “And a lot of us have had enough.”

        ___

        Associated Press writer Christopher Kardish in Raleigh, N.C., contributed to this report.

        I was unable to retrieve the comments…

        • harleyrider1978 says:

          They wiped the comments all 8 before they ditched the story.
          I watched it unfold today as first 6 then the last 2 were gone and then the story.

        • Harley or anyone else out there into the news boards, when you’re checking out the news boards tonight you might want to Google and enter:

          evert casper smoking ban

          just like that, no quotes or anything, and you’ll see copies of the story pulled up in different outlets from the AP release. Might be nice to drop a short note to the effect “This story was up for about 12 hours over on the Casper Union Bulletin news board, but the pro-banners somehow seem to have actually gotten it erased from the news! The story was at http://www.union-bulletin.com/news/light-up-casper-repeals-smoking-ban-for-bars/article_9eeaaf1e-e54f-11e5-beac-10604b9f7e7c.html but so many people wrote comments celebrating the end of the ban that they just erased the whole thing!”

        • I just checked pretty thoroughly on Google AND skip-listened to the last week of K2TV(?) evening news broadcasts and see no mention of a ban repeal. I believe the story may have been accidentally made “Live” from an old file from 2013 for part of a day and then removed. Accident rather than either good news or evil conspiracy.

          – MJM

    • OK… **WAIT A MINUTE!!!** Could someone double-check me on this? From what I’m seeing now, looking around Google, this story came out in ***2013*** written by Gruver. It’s not a new story???

      :?
      MJM

      • Joe L. says:

        Nice find, Michael. It appears you’re correct. However, the story in Casper seems to be even more confusing and full of drama. From what I can gather:

        1999: A comprehensive statewide ban on smoking in public places was considered for Wyoming, but was abandoned after meeting much resistance.

        2012: The city of Casper enacts a comprehensive ban on smoking in public places.

        2013: The ban was amended to allow smoking in drinking establishments. Shortly thereafter, a petition was created to reinstate the full ban, but was originally thrown out because many signatures did not qualify based on the voters’ addresses.

        November 2015: Wyoming Supreme Court overturned the city’s expulsion of 67 signatures, allowing a special vote to be held, the results of which resulted in the full ban being reinstated.

        So, either there has been a new revelation in this matter, or the article in the Union-Bulletin was a display of piss-poor journalism, blindly republishing a three year-old story. I believe it was the latter because the most recent news articles I can find on this matter are from November.

        A few references:

        http://k2radio.com/voters-approve-total-smoking-ban-for-casper/
        http://trib.com/news/local/casper/voters-approve-full-smoking-ban-in-casper/article_30b31207-c7c1-5de4-b203-fa01e4a6b594.html
        http://wyomingbusinessreport.com/smoking-ban-in-casper-reignites-barely/

      • Smoking Lamp says:

        MJM, This was posted Tuesday, March *th and then removed today . The Google cache shows it as “This is Google’s cache of http://www.union-bulletin.com/news/light-up-casper-repeals-smoking-ban-for-bars/article_9eeaaf1e-e54f-11e5-beac-10604b9f7e7c.html. It is a snapshot of the page as it appeared on Mar 9, 2016 05:18:07 GMT.” But when you search the author “mead” with “casper smoking ban”, it turns up the 2013 article which is verbatim. That would explain why they removed it (and it was in syndication at some other AP outlets.) They may have made a mistake and removed without retracting or it could be a phishing expedition to see who follows and comments. Very strange!

        The ban is Casper has been enacted and repealed several times. The most recent ban was enacted by the City Councilmin September 2015 and confirmed in a referendum in November 2015 (Nov. 3rd)

        • Smoking Lamp says:

          Should have said it was posted Tuesday March 8th. It is most likely a mistake and they removed without a retraction. So the bans go on…

        • Joe L. says:

          Agreed. It looks like extremely shoddy journalism, but the lack of a retraction is strange. I currently have a comment in moderation (due to including three links in it) where I list the history of the Casper ban to date. Most recent update I could find is the unfortunate reenactment of the full ban in November 2015, as you stated. If nothing else, this is an example of how easy it can be to disseminate false information in the media.

        • I just checked pretty thoroughly on Google AND skip-listened to the last week of K2TV(?) evening news broadcasts and see no mention of a ban repeal. I believe the story may have been accidentally made “Live” from an old file from 2013 for part of a day and then removed. Accident rather than either good news or evil conspiracy.

          – MJM

      • Frank Davis says:

        Was this an example where iCyte would have been useful, capturing and storing the original story?

  3. harleyrider1978 says:

    Frank Spain has one beat up converted aircraft carrier sitting in Rota harbor. They cant take shit from anyone. Even the Spanish Marines don’t give a crap they get basically shanghaied into military service for 2 years and the get treated like total garbage by the sargentos and the officers. They literally have to wash the ones in charges cars watch/babysit their kids etc etc. In The American military those are considered unlawful orders. Like I said they cant do anything militarily like taking gibraltor from you. Itd be a mass murder of Spaniards by the UK military forces.

    • harleyrider1978 says:

      I know I spent 9 months running with the Spanish marines in Rota in the base military police in unit 5 that covered all the base and each time I had a Spanish marine with me. Id have to pick them up at the Spanish marine barracks because they wouldn’t even give them a ride to the American military police station. Then if we were called by any Spanish officer or sargent for ANY reason the poor bastard had to do whatever miniscule trash it was,like cleaning rabbits for the sargento at 2am after he got done hunting them on base.
      The sargent sold the rabbits to the restaraunts in town for 5 bucks a pop. The marine didn’t get jack! RHIP!!!! Rank has its privledges………poor sods to this day I pity them.

  4. castello2 says:

    Bernie is on a roll and will kick trumphs rumph ;)

  5. wobbler2012 says:

    But he’s an anti-smoker Frank and you hate anti-smokers. Don’t get sucked in he’s a fucking moron. And Clinton is no better, man what a pickle to be in having one of them two shysters in the White House, that is a terrifying thought.

    • harleyrider1978 says:

      Wobbler Trump fought the ban in AC when it attacked his casinos……….He told them a ban would destroy the tourism and the casinos and damn if it didn’t all nine bankrupt. Boardwalk boarded up pretty much and AC looks like it did in 1979 when I was there during guided missle school. My uncle had a collection agency in AC at the time He got the contract for resorts international the first casino built there. Its where he made his millions then moved to palm beach fla. Running his race horses,lucky sod.

      • Joe L. says:

        Sure, Trump fought the ban when it directly impacted his businesses, but would he fight the bans elsewhere as president? If he truly wanted to improve the economy he would, but something tells me he won’t. Not to mention our bans are imposed at the state level, so I don’t know how much impact he would have, even if he got past his personal beliefs.

        • harleyrider1978 says:

          Joe federal bullying pushed thru most of the bans at the state levels. In ten threats were made of withholding federal funds and grants even just like with colleges.

          Colleges being forced to go smokefree by Obama Administration

          The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services announced an initiative to ban smoking from college campuses last month. This is part of the HHS goal to create a society free of tobacco-related disease and death, according to their action plan released by the HHS in 2010.

          Colleges who fail to enact campus-wide smoking bans and other tobacco-free policies may soon face the loss of grants and contracts from the HHS, according to the plan. Western receives grants through a subdivision of the HHS called the National Institutes of Health, Acting Vice Provost for Research Kathleen Kitto said.

          http://www.westernfrontonline.net/news/article_f8068f12-0efe-11e2-8b41-001a4bcf6878.html?success=1

          Obama administration to push for eliminating smoking on college campuses

          Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/09/11/obama … z29zJ2V2TV

          President Barack Obama has already promised not to smoke cigarettes in the White House. If his administration has its way, American college students will soon be required to follow suit while they’re on campus.

        • Joe, yes, he fought them in AC because he knew his casino interests would likely lose at least tens and more likely hundreds of millions of dollars because of the ban, but I also have a memory of him waffling on the bans in a more general way at some point… heh, perhaps in trying to get nearby PA to stiffen its own ban?

          – MJM

      • slugbop007 says:

        Time for college students to petition President Obama. He’s on a ban wagon and needs to either jump off or get pushed off. He’s got a lot of nerve, the hypocrite!

        • Joe L. says:

          Sadly, today’s college students are conditioned to do the exact opposite: petition to ban anything that threatens their “safe spaces.”

    • Frank Davis says:

      Trump is also a teetotaller who never touched a drop of alcohol after his brother became an alcoholic. Yet he markets his own brand of wine!

      • garyk30 says:

        ” Yet he markets his own brand of wine!”

        That is just very good for his profits.
        He owns a bunch of hotels that have eateries and bars that sell wine.

        He starts a winery and mostly sells to his own hotels.

        He makes a profit when he sells his wine to himself and then another profit when his hotels sell that wine to customers.

        Very nice.

        He sells very little of his wine directly to the general public.

      • harleyrider1978 says:

        as long as anyone is making a buck they are into it.
        Even the Nazis don’t want tobacco prohibited as it means an end to their own money supply. The grant moochers don’t want the gravy train to end either,but their not stupid all of them know sooner or later the cash flow will peter out and they will all move onto the next MARK on the list and then onto the next. But generally if history is any indicator of what happens they will all be laughed out of existence and drop the chirades for 50 years and then restart again.

  6. Rose says:

    Cigarettes: MEPs oppose renewing EU anti-smuggling deals with tobacco firms

    “Under the tobacco deals the four largest tobacco firms together agreed to pay the EU and its member states a total of $2.15 billion, over the lifetime of the agreements, to drop legal proceedings against them to recover duties lost to illegal trade in cigarettes. Companies also agreed actively to combat smuggling and counterfeiting of tobacco products.”
    http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/news-room/20160303IPR16929/Cigarettes-MEPs-oppose-renewing-EU-anti-smuggling-deals-with-tobacco-firms

    I have to agree, we all know where that $2.15 billion really comes from and law abiding smokers have been paying certain EU member states ridiculous amounts of tax already without them getting even more money through the back door.

  7. Frank Davis says:

    I keep a quote from everyone’s favourite physicist, Richard Feynman, in the margin. Interestingly, Richard Feynman grew up in Brooklyn and Queens, just like Donald Trump, and retained the local accent all his life. Might the popularity/credibility of them both derive from the same source? They were blunt speakers speaking with the voice of the common man, rather than the affected voices of Boston Brahmins.

    English equivalents might be illustrious physicists or mega-rich property magnates who talked like Michael Caine.

    • harleyrider1978 says:

      That’s Trumps magic he speaks what everyone already feels and knows. They want the nannystate gone and the government cleaned up.

  8. Frank Davis says:

    The Queen Backs Brexit story has got itself some legs. It’s become a rolling story being updated through the day.

    Telegraph:

    The Sun stands by ‘Queen Backs Brexit’ story as newspaper claims they knew more than they published- live

    • harleyrider1978 says:

      About time the queen spoke her mind on this crap as her country loses its independence. We americans know a lil about that.

  9. smokingscot says:

    Seems California’s about to join Hawaii in raising the “smoking age” to 21.

    Damned irritant to anyone aged 18 to 20 and currently smokes.

    Anyway, it awaits Jerry’s signature.

    http://abcnews.go.com/Health/wireStory/california-lawmakers-vote-raising-smoking-age-21-37538583

  10. harleyrider1978 says:

    Posted on March 9, 2016 by John Hinderaker in Obamacare

    NPR and Harvard Say: Obamacare Is a Complete Failure

    National Public Radio collaborated with Harvard’s T.H. Chan School of Public Health and the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation to survey Americans’ recent experience with health care. As to the Affordable Care Act, the survey’s findings are damning. They suggest that Obamacare has been worse than a complete waste of money.

    This is the survey’s only question directly on Obamacare. Most respondents say that Obamacare hasn’t affected them; where it has affected them, most say the law’s impact has been harmful:

    http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2016/03/npr-says-obamacare-is-a-complete-failure.php

  11. Frank Davis says:

    Guardian

    Ben Carson endorses Donald Trump: ‘He’s very cerebral’ – campaign live

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