Project Fear in Overdrive

Daily Mail:



The former prime minister of Luxembourg who heads the EU’s bureaucracy in Brussels said: ‘Europe gains whenever again we point out that Europe is a major project for peace.

‘Whosoever does not believe in Europe, who doubts Europe, whoever despairs of Europe, should visit the military cemeteries in Europe.’

Elsewhere in RealClearScience:

Recently, my colleagues and I published research in Mayo Clinic Proceedings that examined dietary data from almost 50 years of nutrition studies. What we found was astounding; these data were physiologically implausible and incompatible with survival. In other words, the diets from these studies could not support human life if consumed on a daily basis. The reason for this is simple; the memory-based data collection methods (M-BMs) used by nutrition researchers are unscientific because they rely on both the truthfulness of the study participant and the accuracy of his or her memory. Stated more simply, these methods collect nothing more than uncorroborated anecdotal estimates of food and beverage consumption.

Importantly, vast amounts of taxpayer dollars are directed away from rigorous scientific investigations and squandered every year on the collection of uncorroborated anecdotes via M-BMs. Approximately 80% of the data in the USDA’s National Evidence Library consists of uncorroborated anecdotes as well as 100% of the dietary data from every major epidemiologic study over the past 50 years (e.g., Nurses’ Health Study, Health Professionals Follow-Up Study, REGARDS project, and EPIC study). In other words, most of what nutrition researchers call “scientific evidence” is in reality a vast collection of nearly baseless anecdotes. Nevertheless, despite a century of unequivocal evidence that human memory and recall are woefully inadequate for actual scientific data collection, the data from these methods are used to create public health policy.

To date, no researchers have published data that challenge or attempt to refute our findings and conclusions. The reason for this fact is simple: our science is strong and our findings irrefutable. Nevertheless, this has not stopped government-funded researchers and officials from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) from demonstrating an unscientific intolerance to criticism by using rhetoric and fallacious ad hominems in defense of their pseudoscientific methods.

Tobacco research uses the same memory-based data collection methods. Every time anyone is asked how many cigarettes they smoke each day, they’re being asked to remember something that they have no record of. In fact, they’re not just being asked how many cigarettes they smoked today or yesterday, but how many cigarettes they smoked over the past year or even the past 20 years. This like asking someone how tall they were, or the exact distance of their front door from the corner shop, when they were 7 years old. Whatever number they come up with will be a guess.

And finally, Newt Gingrich explains the problem with Trump:

According to Gingrich, the Republican establishment rejects Trump because he is “an outsider. He’s not them. He’s not part of the club. He’s uncontrollable. He hasn’t been through the initiation rights. He didn’t belong to the secret society.”

So, not a member of Skull and Bones like George W Bush and John Kerry.

Tut, tut!

About Frank Davis

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24 Responses to Project Fear in Overdrive

  1. When one considers that the memory failings/distortions in the nutritional research surveys are almost purely based on simple lapses of memory uncontaminated by any huge guilt campaign aimed at eating, one would have to be simply boggled by the memory failings/distortions in the smoking research surveys where the memories are practically buried under decades of daily heapings of guilt and sin through the media.

    Good catch on all this Frank! Very true!

    – MJM

  2. The Blocked Dwarf says:

    but how many cigarettes they smoked over the past year or even the past 20 years.
    That’s an easys, even as discalculutic as I is. Smoked an average of 40-60 a day so call it 50, 50 * 365 * 29 (started when i was 18, now 29 years later) = ca.53K

    and yes, I do say that like it is a good thing.

  3. Smoking Lamp says:

    Well, “Project Fear” is certainly going full blast. In the US we have many states and cities (California, New York City, Boston) moving to ban smokeless tobacco in baseball stadiums; moving to raise the age to purchase tobacco to 21 (Hawaii, California, New Jersey, San Francisco–in addition to state ban), and enact outdoor bans (all over in clouding New Jersey trying again for a beach ban). Buffalo is moving to ban sales of tobacco and e-cigarettes because they cause cancer… The tobacco control lies and exaggerations are now deeply entrenched in the common belief system due to relentless propaganda. This madness needs to stop!

    • Joe L. says:

      The California bill to raise the state’s legal age for tobacco purchase to 21 also includes a clause to legally classify e-cigarettes as a “tobacco product,” even though they contain no tobacco whatsoever. If that passes, what’s next? Hamburgers legally become weapons of mass destruction? Sugar legally regarded as a radioactive material? Scary, indeed.

    • Frank Davis says:

      Fear-mongering, backed up by an army of exaggerations and outright lies, seems to be the default methodology for social engineering.

      After a while it just stops working, and a reaction sets in. And since all the social engineering is a state-sponsored cultural war on more or less everything traditional, I can’t help but think that traditionalists (conservatives, Christians, smokers, drinkers, meat/salt/sugar eaters, global warming denialists) start getting really sick of it all, and in the USA they start hating the overbearing government and actively supporting firstly the Tea Party and then Donald Trump.

  4. jaxthefirst says:

    Having (now) endured the rigours of a public smoking ban first-hand, I’m actually a bit surprised that anti-smoking fever is still running so high Stateside, SL, especially considering that it started over there several years before we were “infected” on this side of the pond, and you’d think that they’d be even more fed up with it than we are.

    Over here, although the campaigners keep making rather limp-wristed attempts to keep All Things Anti-Smoking at the top of people’s hysteria-ratings, by and large I think that many people over here have just got a bit bored with all the relentless Smoking Causes Everything and if you Give Up You’ll Live Forever stuff. Not to mention the fact that quite a lot of news stories these days seem to be proving quite the opposite (cancer being cited as “largely just bad luck” and the massive increase in young, never-smoking females getting lung cancer, being just a couple in recent months). Very few of the latest smoking scare stories make more than one or two sentences in the MSM, if that (many are completely ignored); most non-smokers seem to have forgotten all about the ban, by and large, and even those who were/are supportive of it seem to think that it’s “about right” as it is and don’t have any appetite for extending it any further – Brighton Council recently slung out a proposal to ban smoking on its beaches and the few “experimental, voluntary” outdoor bans tried in a couple of our cities haven’t been emulated by any others – and politicians don’t seem to want to touch the subject with a bargepole and seem to simply hope that it’ll go away. Several local authorities have now started to cut their funding to local anti-smoking do-gooder groups as the economic squeeze continues, because they’ve realised that it just isn’t a good way to spend scarce resources which are needed elsewhere.

    The antis’ increasingly desperate (to the point, sometimes, of being positively bizarre) attempts to drag the spotlight back onto themselves and their “good works” have been largely unsuccessful and the attention now seems to be focussing much more on other “sins” like salt, sugar (that seems to be the big one at the moment, but it’ll probably change next week), alcohol and fast food, because, when it comes to tobacco, there’s a feeling I get that most people, smokers and non-smokers alike, seem to be thinking: “OK. I get it. Smoking isn’t good for you. Point taken. Now just go away and leave us all alone.”

    In fact, about the only people these days who still seem to be concerned about the smoking ban and the antics of the anti-smoking movement are smokers themselves – and not, of course, in the way that the anti-smoking campaigners want them to be!

    But I get the impression that anti-smoking hysteria is still alive and well over in the good old US – or is there a similar feeling of exhaustion at the never-ending demands of the antis over there that we just don’t hear about except when highlighted (hooray!) by Harley?

    • Smoking Lamp says:

      I think the anti-smoking movement has actually gained momentum in the last three years. The propaganda has been hyped. The New Orleans bar smoking ban seems to have been the start of the current accelerated campaign. Once that got enacted, the move for outdoor bans has really taken off, followed by the move to increase the smoking age, attacks on vaping, and general public disapproval. I think the relentless propaganda is paying off. I also think the antismoking moves are globally coordinated. The same playbook is being used in the UK, Australia, Canada, and the US. I haven’t seen much to indicate that the bans are losing steam, but I do notice that the smoking rates remain stable despite the claims of the antis.

      • junican says:

        You are seeing extension and weakening, just as gravity weakens the further away from the gravitating body one moves.
        It is not ‘paying off’ at all. That is propaganda.
        It is easy to correlate the reduction of smoking with the increase in ‘obesity and overweight’, but no Government Department will acknowledge it. THAT CORRELATION DOES NOT EXIST.
        Again, we see the corruption of science by politics. Science is fact; Politics is opinion.

        We can talk about it, but we do not care. We have deserted. We do not give a shit about the battle between TobCon and TobComs. As individuals, we smokers are persecuted beyond imagining. Massive Duties on cigs are NOT OK, and never have been. It is shameful that non-smokers should be able to avoid their fair share of taxes by piling taxes upon smokers. The same applies to teetotallers.
        What is important is that it is not about the NHS. The taxes which we have to suffer go into a huge pot and are distributed as needed. There is no direct connection between the taxes and the use of those taxes.

      • “I also think the antismoking moves are globally coordinated. The same playbook is being used in the UK, Australia, Canada, and the US” That’s a lot truer today than when I wrote Brains. Brains was largely based on the idea of the “Perfect Storm” of different types of Antismokers with different motivations all moving in the same direction at the same time to almost accidentally have a great impact. The “Greedy” at that point were just one segment, and, I believed at the time, a relatively minor player.

        That’s all changed in the last 15 years. The 8 other “Antismoker Subtypes” are still there and active, but the Greedy have spent literally hundreds of millions of dollars on international coordination of various sorts. Remember a year or two ago when there was some major terrorist event and a major special meeting/conference was called to address terrorism? The US said it coudn’t send its chief representative because he/she had to attend some antismoking conference off in Korea or Japan or somesuch. Terrorism just wasn’t all that important.

        – MJM

      • harleyrider1978 says:

        SL these new moves are simply put LAST DITCH fast pitch efforts trying to get as many bans into law as they can before Obama is gone. Face it their power today is a direct reflection to the tax dollars and power from the whitehouse to keep the charade alive.

        After that its over unless Hillary gets in,then you can expect the roaring 1920s to return again renewed. She is just that bad and will outlaw everything.

  5. Tony says:

    The story you highlight about Junker suggesting EU sceptics visit WW11 war graves is rather disturbing. Disturbing because I wonder how the history of WW11 is taught to kids in school today. This video clip is astonishing (OK, it’s hilarious!) :

    Full marks to UKIP’s Stephen Wolf for his calm, accurate and reasoned response to David Lammy MP’s stunningly ignorant statement.

  6. harleyrider1978 says:

    It seems Project Fear is in Europe as well as America over trump and the GOP rinos who support the UN and EU socialist takeover. That’s what makes me like Trump even more he is making earth quakes without even trying.

  7. harleyrider1978 says:

    REUTERS ROLLING: TRUMP 40.9%, CRUZ 19.1%, RUBIO 16.3%…

    • harleyrider1978 says:

      WASHINGTON – U.S. Senator Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) issued the following statement today regarding the 2016 presidential election:

      “Here’s my message to the Republican Party leaders: Focus more on listening to the American people and less on trying to stifle their voice.”

      “What’s happening in the Republican primary is the result of two things: the fecklessness and ineptness of the Washington establishment in failing to address the big issues facing our country and years of anger with the overreach of the Obama administration. And to be candid, I think the American people should be angrier than they are.”

      Senator Corker has not endorsed a candidate in this election

  8. Lepercolonist says:

    As a regular listener to the Adam Carolla podcast ( rated most popular in the U.S.), I was dumbstruck when Adam said that any intelligent person knows that second hand smoke is harmless. I listen for the comedy and cultural observations and had no idea he felt this way.

      • smokervoter says:

        Howdy folks! Just letting you all know I’m still alive and well and dropping by the greatest blog/online pub on the planet every day. I can’t seem to write as concisely as I did in the past as of late. By the time I’ve composed a comment it’s two days too late and off topic.

        Couldn’t help but notice that the author of the California law to raise the age of smoking to 21 years had a spanish surname. California latinos are the worst nannies on earth. I like the sound of “the wall just got 5-feet higher” as a result.

        It’s a shame because I remember when California went smokefree at the bars, Mexico didn’t, and as a result Tijuana had 500,000 visitors every weekend myself included.

        Adam Carolla is a native Californian like yours truly. If you’ve ever wondered what a real Californiano is like (as opposed to Ohioan Stanton Glantz) check out his very funny podcast.

        • smokervoter says:

          Reading back on those comments, I’d be hard-pressed to claim I was ever concise in my writing.

          How I wish I could write like Leg-iron. His one and two sentence replies to his reader feedback are literal masterpieces of concision.

        • nisakiman says:

          I can’t seem to write as concisely as I did in the past as of late

          You’ve been hammering too many four inch nails, mate. Scrambles your brains, all that hammering. :-) You should move into the modern age, and use screws. I’ve hardly used a nail since I was building recording studios back in the 80s, where all the studwork had to be glued and screwed. And all the plasterboard (sheet rock?) had to be glued and screwed to the studs. No vibration allowed, you see. And I was using a Yankee in those days – no battery powered electric ‘drivers then (sigh…).

          I have to agree with you about Leg-Iron. He can compress an awful lot of meaning into a couple of words. It’s a rare talent.

  9. harleyrider1978 says:

  10. legiron says:

    Fear has always been a potent means of control of the masses. Just ask any religion ;)

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