So what can be expected in 2016? ZeroHedge has a list of upcoming events. But they’re all scheduled events. It’s the unscheduled ones that I’m interested in.
I suppose the biggest upcoming event in the UK will be the EU Referendum. I’ll almost certainly be voting to leave. When we first joined, it was called the European Economic Community (EEC) and was essentially about trade between sovereign states. But then it became the EU, which is really about the creation of a single European superstate run from Brussels. It’s thoroughly undemocratic. MEPs are powerless, and exist only to rubber-stamp proposals handed to them by the European Commission, like the European smoking ban which they dutifully rubber-stamped. Europeans don’t even get to elect the President of the European Union. This wasn’t what Britons thought they’d signed up for. We should get out as quickly as possible.
Unfortunately, almost the entire political class is wedded to the EU – most likely because they’ve all been bought. No date has been set for the referendum, but it’s rumoured to be sometime in 2016. And unfortunately I’m fairly sure that most Britons will vote to stay in the EU after they’ve been treated to a fear-mongering, EU-funded propaganda campaign.
But I don’t think that it will make much difference whether Brits vote to stay or leave, because it seems to me that there are forces that have been unleashed in Europe that look set to tear the EU apart. There’s the dysfunctional eurozone. And an Islamic invasion. And the rise of nationalist parties in France, Holland, and the UK. And they’re all acting to tear the EU apart. And these forces all look set to only get stronger.
In fact, the only thing that might hold the EU together is something that it was supposedly created to prevent: war. Not war within Europe itself, but war on its borders. War in the Middle East. War in Ukraine. War in Latvia and Lithuania. This would allow the EU elites to create a European army and a cause behind which to unite fractious Europeans against an external enemy. It’s a bog standard political device. And it seems to me that Russia (and maybe China) and Islamic fundamentalism are being lined up to be the much-needed external enemies that Europeans can be united against. This is the only way that I can see that the EU might avoid disintegration: scaring everyone into a political union none of them really want.
And then there’s the USA. It’s beginning to look like Donald Trump is going to be the surprise Republican presidential candidate. Everyone seems to think that Hillary Clinton, who’ll almost certainly be the Democratic candidate, will defeat Trump. But I think Trump will just bulldoze her out of the way. I think we’re going to see the complete disintegration of Hillary Clinton throughout the course of 2016. I think she’s going to be a human wreck by the end of it (and quite possibly in hospital). And Donald Trump will be elected US president next November.
What will a Trump presidency be like? I don’t find myself in the least bit terrified at the prospect, as many people are. I don’t think he’s going to start WW3 and WW4. I think Trump will do a lot of blunt talking to absolutely everybody. I think there will be a lot of brinkmanship in facing up to Russia and China and anyone else. I think Trump will put a lot of pressure on EU countries to share more of the global burden than they currently do (i.e. European army). Trump might actually help the EU elites save their disintegrating “project”.
I doubt if Trump will be any use at all to smokers. But in the USA I’d expect him to begin to turn the tide against politically-correct, nanny-state “progressivism”, which is the real enemy of smokers. So he may end up unintentionally helping them. The election of Trump will be an absolute disaster for the US left, of course. Although quite how he’ll get along with a Democrat house and senate, I don’t know.
All in all, I expect everything to just get hotter and hotter. And the election of Trump will turn the heat up higher.
What else might we expect? Another global economic crisis, most likely. The whole world seems to have sunk into deepening depression and deflation. We’ll see trade wars, and spiralling unemployment. I was thinking the other day that Labour’s Jeremy Corbyn may have been percipiently foreseeing a new 1930s environment in which the appeal of the radical left becomes greatly magnified, and has been positioning the Labour party for that eventuality.
And perhaps we can expect a good plague or two. Ebola looked for a while like it might bring about a global pandemic. But there are plenty of other bugs waiting out there.
Crisis, depression, plague. war. All in all, it’ll be business as usual.