Came across climate modeler Prof. Christopher Essex giving a fun talk about the unsolved mathematical and computing problems of climate simulation models:
There were rather a lot of unsolved problems.
Two stand-out quotes:
“Some big wheels there sat me down in this room and said we want you to come up with the smoking gun that will prove global warming.”
That’s how all research seems to work these days. You have the answer you want already, and you just need to show how to get that answer in a plausible way. You already know who the murderer is, and you just need to show how he managed to do it.
The other quote:
“In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
The fun thing about this quote is where it originates: the IPCC in 2001.
Essex thought that the climate scare had run out of momentum, and they weren’t going to be able to gin it up again. But he said that there were a lot of people who’d invested their careers in climate science, and they’d fade slowly away.
Asked what would come after that, he said, “Oh, some new madness.”