My Terrible Heresy

I’ve been totally immersed all day in trying to get a rock to land on Chelyabinsk, after passing near the Earth in February 2009. I’ve been flying in chains of rocks to skim from east to west over the surface of the Earth on 15 February 2013.

The chain of rocks numbered 92 to 114 are just passing over the Earth, leaving red and blue trajectories where they’ve just come very near the surface of the Earth. Chelyabinsk is a tiny dot next to the transverse blue terminator line near the middle of the Earth.


I’ll try to make some YouTube videos of it at some point.

It’s all (another) terrible heresy of mine, which is to believe that asteroid DA14 and the Chelyabinsk meteor could have been companions. This is a terrible heresy because NASA have told me personally that Asteroids Don’t Have Companions. Only comets are allowed to have companions.

But I’m now almost on the point of showing how they could have been companions, even though they arrive at the Earth going in very different directions, with the Chelybinsk meteor moving from east to west, and DA14 from south to north. But I don’t think I’ll ever get NASA to consider the idea. I shall probably be branded as a heretic. It will be pointed out that I’m also a Global Warming Denializer. And, worst of all, a smoker.

Pah!!! Who would believe somebody like that?

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Everything Gives You Cancer

Whatever next? Never heard this one before:

The association between height and cancer has been observed for a long time, with taller people in general being at greater risk of developing the disease. A new study has looked into this link across a massive sample size of more than 5 million adults. Not only were they able to show that the association held over such large numbers, but they also calculated the increased risk for every extra 10 centimeters (4 inches) of height, claim the researchers.

They found that the risk of developing cancer in women increased by 18% for every extra 10 centimeters, while for men the risk rose by 11%…

Other studies have shown how people who have genetic dwarfism also have lower rates of cancer compared to the general population. The genetic mutation that makes them shorter is in the part of their DNA that codes for growth hormone receptors on their cells, meaning the cells don’t respond to the hormone in the body. Another piece of research has shown that mice genetically engineered to produce more or less growth hormone also have correspondingly higher and lower rates of cancer in correspondence with their with body size.

People are quite a lot taller than they were a century ago. Maybe the increase in cancer over the past century is entirely due to people getting taller?

We’ve already got Tobacco Control. And in Obesity Control we in effect have Width Control. So perhaps they’ll add Height Control next. Parents will be encouraged to feed their children as little as possible, or keep them in straitjackets to restrict their growth. Something like that. It will entail restrictions and bans. It always does.

One day they will find that everything causes cancer. Maybe they already have:

Everything gives you cancer

My first mistake came shortly after waking up. Toothpaste, I have since discovered, contains several compounds (fluorides and sodium lauryl sulphate among them) that are at least suspected carcinogens, as do shaving cream, soap and shampoo. Breakfast, as well as being the most important meal of the day, is also a cocktail of cancer-causing substances. Heterocyclicamines – highly mutagenic, possibly carcinogenic – are created by cooking or burning foods, and are commonly found in coffee and toast.

Aflatoxins, produced by naturally occurring fungi, are found in small concentrations in milk and cereal. Aflatoxin B1, the most deadly of all the aflatoxins, has been shown to cause cancer in mice, rats, hamsters, rainbow trout, ducks, marmosets (this is a partial list, by the way), tree shrews, guinea pigs and monkeys. Luckily, breakfast is not the most important meal of the day to me, so I’m happy to skip it.

It quickly becomes clear that total carcinogenic abstention is more difficult than it sounds. When that noted oncologist Joe Jackson first proclaimed that “Everything/Gives you cancer”, I think most people understood him to be speaking about all the good things in life -smoking and drinking and red meat and DDT-based pesticides. But a quick look at even a partial list of known human carcinogens proves that he may as well have been speaking literally.

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Odd Coincidences

Hardened veteran readers will know that I took a great deal of interest in the Chelyabinsk fireball on 15 Feb 2013 and the near-simultaneous fly-by of asteroid (2012 DA14), which left me and quite a few other people wondering whether they were companions.

NASA declared on the same day that it was just a fluke that they arrived on the same day, and they were completely unrelated, and travelling in different directions.

Never one to believe The Experts, I started hunting for a DA14 companion using my own hand-written orbital simulation model. I started out looking for a rock a few thousand km from DA14, but couldn’t get one to land on Chelyabinsk. I then went back to 2012 when DA14 passed not far from the Earth, and looked for a rock that would hit the Earth in 2013 after coming close in 2012. I got quite near, but not near enough.

However, since the orbit of DA14 passes near the Earth every February, I started looking at earlier years, going back to 2011, 2010, and 2009. And about 9 months ago I managed to find a rock that passed near the Earth in Feb 2009, and returned in  Feb 2013, passing 3000 km over Russia, after completing 3 orbits of the Sun,

It’s a problem that I’ve been picking up and dropping for the past two and a half years. And in recent weeks I returned to it again, determined to try to get a rock to actually hit the Earth, rather than fly a few thousand km above its surface. Last week I managed to get a rock to pass close to the Earth in Feb 2011, and hit the Earth in Feb 2013, after completing two orbits of the Sun.

And today I got a rock to pass close to the Earth in Feb 2009, and hit the Earth in Feb 2013. It was one of those “Yay!!!!” moments. Here’s a 3D view of the Earth looking down onto the ecliptic plane, showing the impact arrows for a bunch of rocks landing on China.


The red lines are the air tracks, and the blue lines the ground tracks. Chelyabinsk is visible as a small dot just on the right of the transverse blue line – which is the Earth’s terminator, with night/shade to the left of it, and day/light to the right of it – a bit north east of the Caspian and Aral seas. A few numbered rocks can be seen disappearing off to the left of the Earth, having just skimmed over it.

Over the next few days and weeks, I’m fairly sure that I’ll be able to land a rock  on Chelyabinsk rather than China. It’ll be very interesting to find  what direction it comes from, because the Chelyabinsk fireball came from just south of east. Mine looks like it’s going to be very similar.

Quite coincidentally, I also had an email today from Russia saying that my recent Ever Closer Union piece had (with my permission) been translated into Russian and published in Russia Insider. I can’t understand a word of it, but I think that Фрэнк Дэйвис might be Frank Davis.

And a couple of months ago I mentioned a Russian author, Dmitry Kosyrev, who’d written that he liked both Michael McFadden’s and my writing. Well today I had an email (in English, fortunately) from him as well, saying that both of us were going to be extensively quoted in a forthcoming book of his.

He also said that, since Russians hadn’t been subjected to decades of antismoking propaganda, they were much more resistant to antismoking messages, and were unapologetic about smoking, and that a considerable resistance movement was gathering momentum in the wake of last year’s Russian smoking ban.

Anyway, I’m very glad that I now at last have a couple of contacts in Russia, and I hope that there will be a useful exchange of ideas. In my view, smokers all over the world should be getting in contact with each other, and building a grass root smokers’ resistance movement.

Since China has recently started introducing smoking bans, I’m hoping to one day make contact with a few of them as well. And it ought to be easy to get talking to people in India, since many of them speak English.


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Seventeen UN Global Goals

James Delingpole:

According to a study by the Institute of Catalysis and Environment in Lyon (IRCELYON, CNRS / University Lyon 1) and the Leibniz Institute for Tropospheric Research (TROPOS), the oceans are producing unexpectedly large quantities of isoprene – a volatile organic compound (VOC) – which is known to have a cooling effect on climate.

Isoprene is a gas that is formed by both the vegetation and the oceans. It is very important for the climate because this gas can form particles that can become clouds and then later affect temperature and precipitation. Previously it was assumed that isoprene is primarily caused by biological processes from plankton in the sea water. The atmospheric chemists from France and Germany, however, could now show that isoprene could also be formed without biological sources in surface film of the oceans by sunlight and so explain the large discrepancy between field measurements and models. The new identified photochemical reaction is therefore important to improve the climate models.

The oceans not only take up heat and carbon dioxide from the atmosphere, they are also sources of various gaseous compounds, thereby affecting the global climate. A key role is played by the so-called surface microlayer (SML),  especially at low wind speed. In these few micrometers thin layer different organic substances such as dissolved organic matter, fat and amino acids, proteins, lipids are accumulating as well as trace metals, dust and microorganisms.

Though the cooling effects of isoprene are well known, what is new is the discovery that the oceans are producing much more of it than has been accounted for in the alarmists’ climate models. (H/T Lewis Page; The Register)

The computer models assume that the total quantity of isoprene produced by trees, plants and plankton amounts to 1.9 megatons per year. But what researchers have discovered is a process whereby isoprene is also produced in far greater quantities abiotically (ie not from plant or animal life) from the action of sunlight on chemicals in the ocean, possibly as much as 3.5 megatons more per year.

So isoprene acts as a seed for clouds, which cause cooling by reflecting sunlight, and the oceans are producing maybe three times as much of it than used to be thought, and the climate models need to be updated.

James Delingpole thinks this might scupper the upcoming climate conference in Paris. Well, it’s going to make no difference at all. Human-caused global warming is now an established dogma, set in stone, just like the dogma that smoking causes lung cancer. The science is secondary to the politics, and the science will produce whatever answers the politics demands.

It’s how a eugenic programme works. You decide on the kind of world you want to create – low carbon, no smoking, etc, etc –  and then you fix the facts around the policy, by doing the science needed to find that carbon dioxide causes global warming, and smoking causes lung cancer. Whether it’s actually true or not is irrelevant. The only thing that matters are the political goals.

And here are the UN Global Goals (plus translations):

Goal 1: End poverty in all its forms everywhere
Translation: Centralized banks, IMF, World Bank, Fed to control all finances, digital one world currency in a cashless society

Goal 2: End hunger, achieve food security and improved nutrition and promote sustainable agriculture
Translation: GMO

Goal 3: Ensure healthy lives and promote well-being for all at all ages
Translation: Mass vaccination, Codex Alimentarius

Goal 4: Ensure inclusive and equitable quality education and promote lifelong learning opportunities for all
Translation: UN propaganda, brainwashing through compulsory education from cradle to grave

Goal 5: Achieve gender equality and empower all women and girls
Translation: Population control through forced “Family Planning”

Goal 6: Ensure availability and sustainable management of water and sanitation for all
Translation: Privatize all water sources, don’t forget to add fluoride

Goal 7: Ensure access to affordable, reliable, sustainable and modern energy for all
Translation: Smart grid with smart meters on everything, peak pricing

Goal 8: Promote sustained, inclusive and sustainable economic growth, full and productive employment and decent work for all
Translation: TPP, free trade zones that favor megacorporate interests

Goal 9: Build resilient infrastructure, promote inclusive and sustainable industrialization and foster innovation
Translation: Toll roads, push public transit, remove free travel, environmental restrictions

Goal 10: Reduce inequality within and among countries
Translation: Even more regional government bureaucracy like a mutant octopus

Goal 11: Make cities and human settlements inclusive, safe, resilient and sustainable
Translation: Big brother big data surveillance state

Goal 12: Ensure sustainable consumption and production patterns
Translation: Forced austerity

Goal 13: Take urgent action to combat climate change and its impacts*
Translation: Cap and Trade, carbon taxes/credits, footprint taxes

Goal 14: Conserve and sustainably use the oceans, seas and marine resources for sustainable development
Translation: Environmental restrictions, control all oceans including mineral rights from ocean floors

Goal 15: Protect, restore and promote sustainable use of terrestrial ecosystems, sustainably manage forests, combat desertification, and halt and reverse land degradation and halt biodiversity loss
Translation: More environmental restrictions, more controlling resources and mineral rights

Goal 16: Promote peaceful and inclusive societies for sustainable development, provide access to justice for all and build effective, accountable and inclusive institutions at all levels
Translation: UN “peacekeeping” missions (ex 1, ex 2), the International Court of (blind) Justice, force people together via fake refugee crises and then mediate with more “UN peacekeeping” when tension breaks out to gain more control over a region, remove 2nd Amendment in USA

Goal 17: Strengthen the means of implementation and revitalize the global partnership for sustainable development
Translation: Remove national sovereignty worldwide, promote globalism under the “authority” and bloated, Orwellian bureaucracy of the UN

I hope you’ve memorised them all.

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Police To Ignore UK Car Smoking Ban?

H/T Smokingscot for this story:

Smoking ban farce: Police vow to IGNORE new law coming into force tomorrow that makes it illegal to light up in cars with children

A new law against smoking in cars carrying children will not be enforced, police chiefs have admitted.

From Thursday, officers will have the power to dish out £50 on-the-spot fines.

But police bosses say they will turn a blind eye to those caught flouting the law. Drivers will instead get away with a warning – ‘education not prosecution’.

The approach is a blow to ministers who pushed through the legislation on the advice of health experts. At least three million children are thought to be exposed to dangerous fumes in their family car.

The Mail understands that private guidance to chief constables urges them to give motorists at least three months to adjust to the new law. A similar approach was taken with the workplace smoking ban in 2007.

Does that mean that after 3 months they’ll start enforcing this stupid law?

And what’s the Pope up to?

In recent years, the theory that Christianity and Islam are just two distinct paths to God among many others has rapidly gained traction all over the planet. Some religious leaders have even gone so far as to try to merge Islamic and Christian practices, and the term “Chrislam” is now often used to describe this ecumenical movement.

The Pope seems to have taken to referring to God as “the all-merciful”, just like Muslims.

I think I get the idea. Just like all the countries in Europe are to be merged into a single state, so all the religions are going to be merged into one, and part of that will probably mean getting Sharia Law and women having to wear veils and alcohol being banned. In practice it will mean everyone having to become Muslims, and Christianity being sidelined. That’s going to be great success, isn’t it? Just like the EU.

In other news:

David Cameron’s visit to Jamaica threatens to become overshadowed by calls for Britain to issue a full apology for the slave trade and to pay billions of pounds in reparations.

I guess then we can demand that the Italians issue a full apology for the Roman invasion of Britain in 43 A.D., and demand they pay hundreds of billions of pounds in reparations for staying for another 300 or 400 years, and leaving the country littered with roads, towns, and villas.

And last but not least:



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The Mysterious Bradford Hill

The two books I mentioned ordering arrived this morning, and since it was yet another warm sunny day, I lugged them both to my favourite pub garden, ordered a beer and a hot snack, and wondered which one to start reading first. I first leafed through Mao, by Jung Chang. But I was then captured by Smoking Kills: The Revolutionary Life of Richard Doll, by Conrad Keating.

I didn’t start at the beginning.. Or rather I leafed through the chapters on his childhood, and started reading about when he’d teamed up with Bradford Hill. And that was where I soon came across a complete bombshell:

Hill was described in one of his obituary notices as the greatest medical statistician of the twentieth century despite the fact that he held no academic qualification in either medicine or statistics. (p. 63)

What?? Bradford Hill held no academic qualification in either medicine or statistics?? 

Hill had wanted to study medicine, but after he was invalided out of the British Army in 1917 with tuberculosis, and expected to die, he was given a lifetime army pension. His disability prevented him from studying medicine. So instead…

his interests focused on preventive medicine, for which no medical qualification was necessary. (p. 65)

and he had…

little affection or aptitude for mathematics. (p. 65)

Hill studied economics, and attended part of a statistics course at University College, London, where

The mathematical lectures found him out of his depth. (p. 65)


In 1933 Hill obtained the readership in epidemiology and vital statistics at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. (p. 65)

and in 1948 he took on Richard Doll as his assistant in the London Hospitals study, because…

For Hill it was essential that his collaborator in the investigation should be medically qualified. As Rosemary Bull, his daughter, recalled: “Dad saw himself as an ‘unqualified practitioner’, and he said he needed a medical doctor otherwise he thought they’d doubt the work and say: ‘Oh, it’s just statistics.'”

Bradford Hill has always been a rather mysterious figure, completely outshone by Richard Doll. But it emerges that he shunned publicity, and left that to his ‘media savvy’ junior partner.

So the only qualification that Doll and Hill shared was Doll’s degree in medicine! And Richard Doll, at that point in time, was still a very junior doctor.

Anyway, in a book that seems to be a bit of a hagiography of Richard Doll, rather a lot of light has been cast on the hitherto elusive Bradford Hill.

If it’s sunny tomorrow, I’ll go back to the garden and carry on reading.

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David Horowitz

In the aftermath of the 2007 UK smoking ban, my politics has shifted sharply to the right. Classic case of “a conservative is a liberal who’s been mugged.” And, boy, was I mugged!

The result is that I take much more interest in conservative commentators than I ever used to do. And yesterday I came across one-time Marxist David Horowitz talking to the Heritage Foundation in 2013.

In his wide-ranging speech, Horowitz described his transition from left to right, and discussed the shortcomings of a conservative movement unwilling to deal with the ugly realities of what the American left represents.

Here’s the speech he made, which I was watching last night as the rather spectacular eclipse of the moon was taking place:

Horowitz’s parents were card-carrying communist party members, as was he for many years, so I guess that his is an insider view of the US Left.

He said there were four features of the ‘progressive’ leftist mentality

  1. They’re all Rousseauians. They all think, like Rousseau, that “Man is born free, but is everywhere in chains.” They also believe that in a “state of nature” people behave well and get along fine.
  2. Progressives are focused on the future, and see history as a forward march.
  3. They’re usually alienated from their own country.
  4. They lie.

He regarded the Democratic party as a Communist party, and Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama as communists.

He was very critical of conservatives, for not fighting back against the Left. He said,  “We are within reach of a totalitarian state in this country…These are very very dark days for this country.”

I wondered what he might think of Donald Trump. I dug out a YouTube video on it, in which he says:

“I love Donald Trump. I  think he’s probably going to be a big problem for Republicans, but I just wish that every Republican had the fire in his belly that he has, and the no-back-down attitude. I can only think of someone like Ann Coulter as someone who won’t back down. He could have crafted his initial statement a little better, but people don’t believe any more in our political leaders…”

Interesting guy, but I expect somebody will tell me that Horowitz is a right-wing lunatic.

Anyway, in my slightly left-wing days, I was never anywhere near being a Marxist or even a Rousseauian. Nor have I ever been ‘focused on the future’. Nor even particularly alienated from my own country. So I guess I was never really very left-wing. But even now I can’t really think of myself as a conservative.

And I’ve ordered a couple of new books. One is Mao by Jung Chang. And the other is an intriguing book that was mentioned in comments a few weeks ago, Smoking Kills: The Revolutionary Life of Richard Doll. Richard Doll was also once a card-carrying member of the Communist party (in the UK), and I also think that he was most likely a serial liar. I’m wondering if George Godber was too. And whether when people get the Communism bug, their primary allegiance is to The Cause rather than to their profession’s ethical code.

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