Unusually for me, today I watched a 40-minute YouTube video about chemtrails. In fact I watched it twice. H/T the Tap blog.
I know next to nothing about chemtrails. It’s one of those conspiracy things which I’m usually instantly suspicious of. Much as I have a low opinion of the government, I don’t think they’re spraying us with poison to kill us all off.
But listening to retired USDA Biologist (and gardener) Francis Mangels talking about Geoengineering provided a rather different perspective. He came over as being sincere and knowledgeable. He had noticed that his California garden’s soil PH had been changing, and found his rainwater was sometimes full of aluminium and strontium and barium, and determined that it was being sprayed by jets. Why? Well, not to poison everybody. But instead to produce a reflective high cloud which would reduce global warming. There’s a patent that the US military bought (shown on the video) about doing exactly that.
And that made quite a lot of sense to me. Because I’ve occasionally tinkered with my own simple computer simulation model of climate behaviour over the past year or two. But I got a bit stuck trying to model the atmospheric absorption and re-emission of photons, and let it drop. But one of the things I did find was that the model was very sensitive to high clouds which reflected back sunlight:
But this simple model seems to be highly responsive to changing the parameters. If, for example, I reduce cloud cover from 70% to 0%, the mean air temperature shoots up by 35 degrees, because clouds are no longer reflecting solar radiation into space, and both air and ground are being warmed a lot more.
Cloak the earth in clouds, and enough sunlight will be reflected away to cool the planet. So spraying highly reflective aluminium (or strontium titanate) nano-particles high in the atmosphere would indeed have a cooling effect.
So maybe that’s what the chemtrails are all about? It’s not about poisoning everybody, but cooling the planet. And if the US and UK governments believe (and they do seem to believe) that global warming is happening, and want to do something about it quickly, spraying clouds of reflective particles in the atmosphere with military jets looks like quite a good solution.
Mangels went on to say, quite late in the video, that apart from changing soil PH, the spraying also affected the US climate, and resulted in less rain over California, and a lot more over the Eastern US states. It made for drought in the west, and floods in the east. I found myself wondering whether it was also managing to cross the Atlantic and produce the dull, wet, overcast summers we’ve had for the past 5 years here in the UK. Mangels said the stuff could stay in the atmosphere for 3 or more days, and maybe that’s enough time for it to arrive over Britain.
And maybe it’s actually worked to reduce global temperatures? One of the strongest arguments against global warming is that there simply hasn’t been any for the past 13 years. But what if that’s because the earth’s atmosphere has been seeded with reflective aluminium clouds for long enough to prevent the temperature rising? What if the global warming had been real, but the measures taken against it had been effective? That would be an interesting turn-up.
If it has been, then it doesn’t look like it’s a good long term solution. According to Mangels, the spraying wasn’t something that couldn’t be reversed. The higher levels of aluminium and strontium in the soil were there to stay. And this affected plant growth. If it carried on, the price of food would start rising. The spraying also damaged the ozone layer, and resulted in more UV at the planet’s surface. And there were the increased droughts in the western USA and increased floods and tornadoes in the eastern USA.
Mangels didn’t talk much about global warming, but he mentioned a ‘tipping point’ with global warming which we were at right now, so I guess he believes it’s real.
Anyway, chemtrails started making a bit of sense to me. And they started making sense as a concerted government response to the perceived threat of AGW. Cutting carbon dioxide emissions was going to be a very difficult (if not impossible) long term solution, but spraying reflective clouds of aluminium was something that could be done immediately. So the US government (and probably the UK government and several other governments) went ahead and did it. And they started doing so maybe a decade ago. And maybe this has been having global effects on climate, making everything cooler and wetter (like here in the UK). And that’s maybe why Global Warming got re-branded as Climate Change. Because the result is that we no longer have a global warming problem, but a climate change problem (and maybe a few other new problems as well) instead. It probably doesn’t improve anyone’s health to live under a constant shower of aluminium and strontium and barium and arsenic. And that may be why the health authorities have been getting jittery and expecting all sorts of epidemics. And why tobacco is being framed (once again) as the cause of all of them.
This isn’t a conspiracy theory. At most, if the spraying is really happening, governments will have been acting secretly in response to a publicly widely-advertised perceived real threat. But that’s nothing new. When they were testing nuclear weapons back in the 1950s, they didn’t tell everyone about it, and it created fall-out all over the USA and all over the world in the 50s and 60s. But the Soviet threat was publicly widely advertised too, and it was a real threat.
I can’t say that I’m totally convinced that the spraying is actually happening. Far from it. I’ve never seen a chemtrail (unless that’s what the cloud over the UK was today). But I can see a good reason now why such spraying might be happening, which doesn’t involve the government trying to kill everyone. And it’s one which might explain why global warming hasn’t been happening, but climate change is.
As a smoker who only ever sits outside pubs these days, I watch the sky closely anyway. Maybe I’ll watch it a bit more closely now.